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Piercing the Fog - Air Force Historical Studies Office

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<strong>Piercing</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Fog</strong><br />

“advice as to priorities between <strong>the</strong> different systems of strategic objectives, and<br />

<strong>the</strong> priorities of targets within <strong>the</strong>se systems.”z4 On behalf of <strong>the</strong> RAF Deputy<br />

Chief of <strong>Air</strong> Staff and <strong>the</strong> Commanding General, USSTAF, <strong>the</strong> committee<br />

published a weekly priority list similar to <strong>the</strong> original Jockey schedules.<br />

Between September and November, ordnance, military transportation, and AFV<br />

production followed oil on <strong>the</strong> strategic target priority list. These three were<br />

taken off <strong>the</strong> list on November 1 with <strong>the</strong> decision to concentrate on <strong>the</strong> German<br />

transportation system. In February, when intelligence indicated a rise in<br />

production of AFVs, <strong>the</strong>y were reinstated, and a specific working committee<br />

was created to monitor armored vehicles.<br />

Intelligence on <strong>the</strong>se systems came from now well-established sources.<br />

USSTAF relied on <strong>the</strong> EOU’s general intelligence unit to analyze German<br />

military equipment production.255 Photoreconnaissance and photointerpretation<br />

agencies increased <strong>the</strong>ir work still fur<strong>the</strong>r. In contrast to earlier periods, ULTRA<br />

provided extensive quantitative and qualitative information on attacks against<br />

individual targets, which contributed to accurate assessments. Much of this<br />

information derived from decrypted police messages and codes now used by<br />

military-industrial agencies created to coordinate production with military<br />

requiremenkZ6 Cross-checking ULTRA information with photointerpretation<br />

resulted in more accurate assessments and more effective subsequent targeting<br />

decision^.^' The insight ULTRA now provided on <strong>the</strong> overall state of German<br />

production and resources had strategic implications as well. Messages such as<br />

<strong>the</strong> one from Oberkommando der Wehrmucht (<strong>the</strong> German high command) on<br />

January 10, 1945, advising that because of critical shortages of ammunition it<br />

would be possible only to supply active sectors while economizing elsewhere,<br />

surely contributed to <strong>the</strong> CSTC recommendation that month to reinstate<br />

ammunition to priority status.258<br />

In response to <strong>the</strong> broadening target base, in January 1945 <strong>the</strong> USSTAF<br />

director of intelligence expanded <strong>the</strong> daily briefing to <strong>the</strong> commanding general<br />

to include considerable target intelligence, and he instituted special weekly<br />

briefings to inform key staff officers of <strong>the</strong> status of target systems and<br />

important individual targets. Although USSTAF was not responsible for<br />

selection of ground-support targets, <strong>the</strong> operational intelligence section<br />

established a special tactical targets subsection to keep Spaatz and his senior<br />

officers informed of <strong>the</strong> ground situation and of important ground targets. This<br />

group worked closely with <strong>the</strong> target committees in London and at SHAEF.<br />

USSTAF intelligence also expanded <strong>the</strong> distribution of information to<br />

subordinate commands, both strategic and tactical, to assist <strong>the</strong>m in targeting.<br />

American officers assigned to <strong>the</strong> <strong>Air</strong> Ministry were already sending a daily OB<br />

to <strong>the</strong> tactical air forces and commands; it provided enemy units’ strength,<br />

locations, and type of aircraft as well as a daily airfield activity report. In <strong>the</strong><br />

winter of 1944-1945, <strong>the</strong> USSTAF <strong>Air</strong> Ministry section sent daily signals on<br />

<strong>the</strong> status of important ammunition dumps, ordnance, and POL depots; military<br />

242

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