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Piercing the Fog - Air Force Historical Studies Office

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The Pacific and Far East<br />

watchers, photoreconnaissance, agent reports, and radio intelligence units, using<br />

radio methods throughout <strong>the</strong> war zone. Japanese deception involved quite good<br />

attempts at using English speakers on tactical radio nets to confuse or mislead<br />

Allied pilots and ground forces. In addition, skilled Japanese interrogators<br />

extracted valuable data from POWs, many of whom, because of <strong>the</strong> widespread<br />

aerial fighting, were airmen. Although some Japanese units, like <strong>the</strong> Sou<strong>the</strong>rn<br />

Army, could dismiss intelligence studies, o<strong>the</strong>rs pursued it. Even Sou<strong>the</strong>rn Army<br />

realized its error and recreated an intelligence section early in 1944. By <strong>the</strong>n,<br />

however, it was too late for such a move to influence <strong>the</strong> war’s direction.”<br />

For radio intercept work, each major Japanese army headquarters had<br />

assigned to it <strong>the</strong>ir version of a Y-Service unit that dealt with coded or<br />

encrypted British, American, or Chinese message traffic. The larger and more<br />

important <strong>the</strong> headquarters, <strong>the</strong> larger and better equipped <strong>the</strong> intercept section<br />

was. These field units proliferated, but <strong>the</strong>y were by no means as successful as<br />

were <strong>the</strong> comparable Allied organizations. Allied ULTRA could occasionally<br />

trace Japan’s sources and use of radio intercept data. An early March 1944<br />

decryption of Japanese radio messages confirmed that <strong>the</strong>ir surveillance and<br />

study of Allied air operations involved direction finding and traffic analysis<br />

done as CB did in Brisbane and as <strong>the</strong> radio intercept squadron did at Fifth <strong>Air</strong><br />

<strong>Force</strong> ADVON’s operational headquarters in New Guinea. Allied interpreters<br />

who studied <strong>the</strong> messages concluded, however, that no evidence suggested <strong>the</strong><br />

Japanese were successful in breaking important, high-level codes or ciphers.‘*<br />

This meant that <strong>the</strong> Japanese, despite some monumental American blunders in<br />

keeping secrets, remained unaware of <strong>the</strong> true nature and extent of Allied<br />

ULTRA operations. Many of Japan’s most valuable intelligence accomplishments<br />

came from <strong>the</strong>ir efforts to counter Allied air power. Japanese cryptographers<br />

often broke low-level air operations codes. For example, <strong>the</strong>y were able<br />

to predict B-29 actions in China by reading messages directing <strong>the</strong> turning on<br />

of aircraft homing beacons.<br />

In <strong>the</strong> SWPA, reports of Japanese intelligence activities unear<strong>the</strong>d by<br />

ULTRA appeared in Willoughby’s daily SIBS. As much as possible, <strong>the</strong> Allies<br />

tracked <strong>the</strong> location of Japanese radio intercept units, noting that <strong>the</strong> removal<br />

of one from Rabaul to Truk early in 1944 possibly indicated <strong>the</strong> decline in <strong>the</strong><br />

Rabaul unit’s relative importance in Japanese plans and <strong>the</strong> perception that<br />

Nimitz’s carrier and amphibious forces posed <strong>the</strong> greater threat to <strong>the</strong> Pacific<br />

islands. On <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r hand, <strong>the</strong> move could have resulted simply from Japan’s<br />

wish to avoid risking <strong>the</strong> valuable unit to <strong>the</strong> heavy and continuing air attacks<br />

by Admiral Halsey’s carrier aircraft and by Kenney’s bombers and fighters.<br />

Despite <strong>the</strong> apparent move of <strong>the</strong> radio intelligence unit, some capability<br />

remained at Rabaul, for it was <strong>the</strong>re that <strong>the</strong> Japanese gained some of <strong>the</strong>ir best<br />

radio intercept data on B-29 operations from <strong>the</strong> Marianas. Throughout <strong>the</strong> war,<br />

knowledge of Japanese radio intelligence activities remained fragmentary, with<br />

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