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Piercing the Fog - Air Force Historical Studies Office

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<strong>Piercing</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Fog</strong><br />

Japanese to fight might be weakened. At <strong>the</strong> very least, <strong>the</strong> attack on Musashino<br />

would serve notice that <strong>the</strong> strategic bomber force had <strong>the</strong> power to hit whatever<br />

it wanted to.88<br />

The results of that first mission, like those of most of <strong>the</strong> precision attacks<br />

that followed in <strong>the</strong> ensuing months, were disappointing. Despite an occasional<br />

reasonably successful strike, such as <strong>the</strong> one on December 18 at Nagoya’s<br />

aircraft facilities, <strong>the</strong> main difficulties arose from a combination of crew<br />

inexperience, operating <strong>the</strong> aircraft at extreme range limits, and, worst of all,<br />

atmospheric conditions over <strong>the</strong> targets. Cloud cover was no new problem for<br />

<strong>the</strong> AAF; air crews had lived with it for more than two years over Europe. The<br />

problem in Japan, however, was compounded by <strong>the</strong> extreme wind veloci-<br />

ties-up to 200 knots-encountered at 25,000 to 30,000 feet, <strong>the</strong> normal<br />

preplanned bombing altitudes. Attempting to fly in tight, self-defending<br />

formations in such winds proved almost impossible; worse, if <strong>the</strong> formation<br />

succeeded in finding <strong>the</strong> target,<br />

. . . drift was difficult to correct and bomb runs had to be charted directly<br />

upwind or downwind. Attacking Japan’s best-defended cities directly in<br />

<strong>the</strong> teeth of a 200-knot wind was unthinkable; going downwind <strong>the</strong> B-29s<br />

reached ground speeds in excess of 500 miles per hour, in which case<br />

nei<strong>the</strong>r bombsights nor bombardiers could function properly. Moreover,<br />

<strong>the</strong> high winds made it impossible for crews to make a second pass if <strong>the</strong><br />

run-in failed; if a navigational error brou ht a plane in downwind from<br />

target it might not be able to attack at all. 8$<br />

Early in January, impatient over <strong>the</strong> results thus far achieved and having<br />

decided to close down XX Bomber Command’s operations from India and<br />

China, Arnold moved <strong>the</strong> unit to <strong>the</strong> Marianas to join Hansell’s XXI Bomber<br />

Command and directed a full-scale reorganization. Hansell was relieved;<br />

LeMay replaced him and reported immediately, with <strong>the</strong> remainder of his<br />

command following in increments over <strong>the</strong> next several months. As senior air<br />

officer in <strong>the</strong> <strong>the</strong>ater, LeMay commanded <strong>the</strong> XXI Bomber Command, soon to<br />

be redesignated, with <strong>the</strong> XX Bomber Command, as Twentieth <strong>Air</strong> <strong>Force</strong>. Like<br />

Wolfe, Hansell returned <strong>the</strong> <strong>the</strong> United States.<br />

LeMay quickly departed from Hansell’s pattern of high-altitude attacks. He<br />

introduced low-level attacks and began to,conduct experiments with various<br />

types and loadings of incendiary bombs. On <strong>the</strong> night of March 9/10, 1945,<br />

LeMay sent out <strong>the</strong> first massive, low-level, night incendiary raid. The raid<br />

established a pattern that continued through July, interrupted by a lengthy<br />

incendiary bomb shortage, by a short diversion in April of bombing airfields on<br />

Kyushu in support of <strong>the</strong> Okinawa invasion, and by <strong>the</strong> minelaying campaign.<br />

LeMay’s incendiary bombing decision was long in coming, having been amply<br />

studied for many years. The COA’s 1943 recommendations on Japanese targets<br />

contained one of <strong>the</strong> first endorsements of urban-area fire bombing. The<br />

recommendation appeared again in <strong>the</strong> 1944 review of <strong>the</strong> earlier work on<br />

338

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