I__. - International Military Testing Association

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PEACiTIME
TAIKI
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1
CONTINOENCY
TASK8
LOW MID HIOH
INTENBITY CONFLICT INTENSITY CONFLICT INTENIITY CONFLICT
CONVENTIONAL OONVENTIONAL
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efOL0QlcAL
CHEMICAL
Figure 1. AFS Task Relationship8
NUCLEAR
BIOLOQICAL
CHEMICAL
Scenario Generator Pascal was selected as the programming language since it
provided the necessary versatility and relative ease of use. The program was
written with the use of Turbo Pascal version 4.0 and is very simple to use. T h e
program operation speed increases when it is loaded onto a hard drive or RAM i
drive. It will run on any IBM (DOS) compatible microcomputer with 512X RAM. A i
color monitor is recommended but not required. The program consists of 2 files 1
and is easily contained on a single 360X floppy disk. ;
The main program, CTT.EXE, is a menu driven program. It presents all the
variable categories developed for the manual version. In a step-by-step process
beginning with the selection of intensity level, variables categories are
presented with the specific variables listed for user selection. Table 2
provides a listing and description of the variable categories in the. program.
There are nine categories possible for High Intensity conflict and eight for rr,:d
intensity. Low.intensity conflict has twelve categories, four more than for mid
intensity, due to the complex nature of LICs.
Variables are entered one at a time and stored in the computer until the
last variable is selected, whereupon all variables are placed in a standard
scenario format. In most cases, the variables are listed in a sentence format
with no additional information. However, in a few of the variables additional
information is drawn from a small ‘library’ within the program and displayed in
the final scenario. This feature serves to enhance the quality of the scenario
produced. Time constraints prevented displaying additional information for all
variables, although such an improvement is recommended in future development.
The second file, CTT-REV.HLP, contains variable definitions. This on-line
‘help’ function is a useful feature of the program. When accessed, it provides
a complete definition of all variables listed in the scenario generator.
Supplementary information for many of the variables is also. This file must be
loaded on the same disk with the scenario generator program to be accessed.
The program will allow the user to generate low, medium and high-intensity
conflicts. Special emphasis is given to low intensity conflicts as they are
typically the most intricate. Interestingly, the low-intensity conflict is
rapidly becoming the most common conflict the U.S. will face in coming years.
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