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I__. - International Military Testing Association

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In the fire fighting system prevention is realized by the number of units distributed over the<br />

area before a fire is seen. False decisions mean forgetting to let the units search for and put out<br />

fires by themselves.<br />

Coordination is measured simply by the number of changing commands in the face of new<br />

fires throughout the game.<br />

Ability to decide<br />

A high degree of decision-making ability means the capability to plan in a goal-directed manner<br />

and to realize decisions quickly and precisely.<br />

The following aspects are combined in the economic system: The time to control the system,<br />

the frequency of postulated correct effects of decisions, and the rareness of decisions that do<br />

not work in the system.<br />

In the fire fighting system, the speed and accuracy of decision-making are rated in combination.<br />

This means that the number of new fires that are dealt with in precise commands are summed<br />

up and weighted by the average time lag between the time of the fire and the time that the<br />

corresponding command is given.<br />

4.3 Empirical results<br />

4.3.1 Estimates of reliability<br />

Concerning the economic system retests between different trials of system control do not seem<br />

to be appropriate. Here we can expect content related changes in strategies that may influence<br />

performance without being attributable to a lack of reliability. Empirical results from two<br />

studies show stability of medium-level strategies, either accompanied or not accompanied by<br />

stability in performance (see,Strohschneider, 1986; Funke, 1983).<br />

In the fue fighting system, content-dependent changes in strategies are not to be expected. In<br />

one experimental study (N = 50 university students) two versions of system parameters were<br />

constructed which differed in the number and timing of new fires. The subjects had to control<br />

each version for three trials in one session each. The correlations are lower between the first<br />

set of trials than between the second set. Between the last two trials in the second version, all<br />

correlations are higher than .80, referring to performance as well as to organizing and<br />

decision-making ability. In a second study (N = 80 university students), one system version<br />

had to be controlled for four trials. Performance data between the last two trials are correlated<br />

.84, whereas organizing and decision-making ability is correlated .79 and .76, respectively.<br />

These data on stability are accompanied by significant gains in performance as well as in<br />

strategies from the first to the last trial. This is equally true for both studies.<br />

4.3.2 Data on internal validity<br />

As has been mentioned above, it should be tested whether the subjects are aiming at comparable<br />

goals. If the goals are only vaguely defined, the subjects will probably define different specific<br />

goals for themselves. Consequently, in our studies the subjects are given specific goal variables<br />

. .

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