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I__. - International Military Testing Association

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-Conflict Intenelty: choice of the degree of conflict intensity.<br />

-Highest NBC Threat Level (High Intensity Only): description of the<br />

amount of nuclear, biological, and chem:cal clothing worn.<br />

-Attrition: the amount of critical personnel and equipment<br />

damaged/wounded and destroyed/killed per month.<br />

-Logistics: the amount of critical supplies required to perform the<br />

mission which actually reach the combat area<br />

-Environment<br />

-- Area and Size: the size or area of operations.<br />

-- Sub-Terrain: choice of three areas of man-made environments.<br />

-- Terrain: choice of terrain combined with season presents a<br />

detailed climatic description.<br />

-- Season: choice of four seasons<br />

-Mission Duration: the length of time the scenario will last.<br />

-Command And Control: presents choices for particular commands or joint<br />

operation.<br />

-Low Intensity Conflict Only<br />

-- LIC Situations: eight of the most common types of situations.<br />

-- Operational Category: describes the general intent of the<br />

military operation undertaken to el‘tt;er combat or facilitate<br />

the LIC zitcation.<br />

-- Threat Type: type of threat US forces are expected to face<br />

during the LIC situation.<br />

-- Threat Support: the type of popu!ar support the threat will<br />

receive.<br />

Table 2. VARIABLE CATEGORIES<br />

The final scenarios produced by the program are short and simple as was<br />

specified by experts in scenario design. The user has options to print the<br />

scenario or send it to a computer disk file. If copied to a disk the scenario<br />

can then be modified using any word processor program that reads ASCII.<br />

The Contingency Scenario Generator User’s Manual (Dart & Guthals, 1990)<br />

provides additional information on the variables and the use of the program.<br />

VALIDATIOR<br />

Evaluation involved conducting what was termed a ‘reality check’. To<br />

perform the reality check, the program was taken to several wartime planning<br />

offices.<br />

The HQ ATC Technical Training (HQ ATC/TTIR?) division, HQ AFMEA. and the<br />

School of Aerospace Medicine, Battlefield Readiness (USAFSAM/EDO) office, Brooks<br />

AFB, were asked to review the program and provide input into its improvement.<br />

In addition to the above mentioned sources for scenario evaluation, other<br />

sources were contacted concerning specific aspects of the generator. ,Msa t<br />

notable was the value for attrition given in the scenario. The Air Force<br />

Wartime Manpower, Personnel and Readiness Team !AFW!ZRTl at Fort Riche, ,MD<br />

provided valuable information in this regard.<br />

The evaluation of the scenario generator by war planning experts led to<br />

several recommendations for further development. Those that were easy and<br />

straight-forward to implement in the time available were incorporated into the<br />

Scenario generator. Unfortunately, to implel;ent several recommendations wculd<br />

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