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I__. - International Military Testing Association

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published in the “Wehtpsychologische Untersuchungen”.). The condensation required 60 hours<br />

of processing time, and the results were stored in 7 data banks for later ease of access.<br />

In the second stage of evaluation, correlations were made between the individual variables and<br />

the results from the later Plying screening. In this way the variables best able to predict the<br />

results of the Plying screening were high-lighted.<br />

In the third stage of evaluation, based on a regression analysis of the most predictive variables<br />

from stage 2, a representative value for each candidate was calculated for the individual sections<br />

of each mission, and also for each complete mission (or in the case of mission 02, for each circuit<br />

of the mission).<br />

The validity of the values for each complete mission thus caIculated were correlated with the<br />

results of the Plying screening. All correlations were highly significant, but differed widely<br />

between missions. The fact that the first mission had a lower correlation could perhaps be<br />

explained by the unfamiliarity of the test environment at this early stage of FPS screening.<br />

In a fourth evaluation stage, the fall-out frequencies during Plying screening within groupings<br />

of candidates with similar PPS performances were computed. Table 2 (next page) shows clearly<br />

that candidates with low PPS performances frequently failed the Plying screening.<br />

The second mission appears to have been particularly predictive. Mission 3 and 4 show<br />

irregularities in the middle stages, which could perhaps be explained by the fact that some. of<br />

the skills being tested in these missions, do not play a part in the Flying screening.<br />

Those particularly at risk from the Plying screening are candidates who scored below 51 in the<br />

FPS (most candidates scored in the range 40 to 76). The group of candidates with the best FPS<br />

results ( 69 FPS points) on the other hand, had a 90% success-rate in the Plying screening.<br />

Conclusion<br />

After exhaustive statistical evaluation, it was possible to conclude that the FPS was capable of<br />

predicting success or failure at Plying screening with acceptable accuracy.<br />

A final evaluation of the success of this method of screening (remembering that the full screening<br />

process consists of all five stages in Phases 1 to 3, as at present Plying screening is being retained)<br />

will only be possible after the collection of sufficient statistical evidence of candidates subsequent<br />

performance in training and later operational flying. The same applies, of course, to the<br />

other in-flight disciplines for which PPS screening takes place.<br />

To date, second-rate pilot-candidates have been channclled into positions as Weapon System<br />

Officers and Navigators. It is hoped that the specific results of FPS missions 3 and 4 will show<br />

a better cormIation with subsequent candidate skills in these specialist activities.<br />

355

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