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I__. - International Military Testing Association

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predicts MARS III training success, but does not improve the<br />

prediction of MARS III beyond that already provided by the file<br />

review, and the leadership stand assessment does not predict MARS<br />

IV training success; (c) the NOAB merit score predicts MARS III and<br />

MARS IV performance, but all of this criteria prediction actually<br />

originates with the file review; (d) neither the interview,<br />

conducting officer, leaderless group discussion, nor the two CFRC<br />

measures -- tested learning ability and military potential -provide<br />

any prediction of MARS III or MARS IV training success; (e)<br />

the file review is the only NOAB measure that appears to be<br />

psychometrically sound; (f) the other four operational measures<br />

(interview, leadership stands, conducting officer, and leaderless _<br />

group discussion) require a psychometric overhaul (or replacement);<br />

and (g) of the two experimental NOAB measures, the PPT has the most<br />

potential for use as an operational NOAB predictor.<br />

Based on this study and the earlier BOTC validation by Okros<br />

et al. (1988), it has been recommended that the NOAB be retained<br />

as the assessment method for selecting MARS candidates and that<br />

efforts be made to improve the board's predictive efficacy by: (a)<br />

increasing the construct validity of exercise dimensions; (b)<br />

investigating the potential for applying situational interview<br />

methods and patterned behavioural interview techniques; (c)<br />

improving the predictive efficacy of the leadership stands; (d)<br />

evaluating the predictive efficacy of the General Classification<br />

(GC) test; and (e) developing new selection measures to replace<br />

the leaderless group discussion and conducting officers'<br />

assessments.<br />

References<br />

Campbell, D.T., & Fiske, D.W. (1959). Convergent and discriminant<br />

validation bY the multitrait-multimethod matrix.<br />

Psvcholoaical Bulletin, x, 81-105.<br />

Bradley, J.P. (1990). A validation studv on the Naval Officer<br />

Assessment Board's abilitv to predict MARS Officer training<br />

success. (Working Paper 90-7). Willowdale, Ontario: Canadian<br />

Forces Personnel Applied Research Unit.<br />

Okros A.C., Johnston V.W., and Rodgers, M.N. (1988). An evaluation<br />

of the effectiveness of the Naval Officer Selection Board as<br />

a Dredictor of success on the Basic Officer Traininu Course<br />

(Working Paper 88-l). Willowdale, Ontario: Canadian Forces<br />

Personnel Applied Research Unit.<br />

267

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