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I__. - International Military Testing Association

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have a positive effect on some of the problems mentioned.<br />

Specific Accessions<br />

Females. The female enlisted accession floor was initially set in FY88. The most<br />

recent floor is based on slight growth, but growth nevertheless, of 0.2% to 0.5% percent<br />

each year in the female enlisted end strength compared to the total enlisted endstrength.<br />

This allows female endstrength to be reduced as the Arpy downsizes but, perhaps, at a<br />

lower rate than males. Final content for FY96 will be 13.3% of the enlisted endstrength.<br />

Recruiting females is actually more difficult than recruiting males. There are over 240,000<br />

available MOS slots for females in which to enlist. However, females have a lower<br />

propensity to enlist (11% versus 17% for males, YATS89) and gravitate to the more<br />

attractive MOS such as medical (91), administrative (71), supply (76), and communication<br />

(31)-usually the top four MOS for females annually, In FY89 63% of the females were in<br />

AFQT CAT I-IIIA, all but a hatidful were high school graduates, 69% took the four-year<br />

terms, 54% were white, 40.5% were black. The female accession floor of 15,500 was<br />

exceeded by 4%.<br />

Establishing a gender neutral accession mission in the Army will likely lower, not raise,<br />

the number of females who enlist. Money for college and shorter terms of service are the<br />

two most important considerations for females and without exceptional resources and<br />

attention to these attractions, and without proper “gosling” of the recruiter, female<br />

accessions would probably be significantly lower, perhaps by as much as 60%. Contract<br />

goals for females in FY88 was 13.4% with 13.7% achieved; FY89 had 16.3% as a goal and<br />

18.1% of total contracts achieved.<br />

Prior Service(PS). With the changes in Army structure there may be more need for PS<br />

to fill resulting holes in the structure, more as a result of unexpected losses of personnel<br />

than from structured reductions in MOS. However, the present PS requirement of 3,000<br />

in FY91, and 2,000 for FY92 appears intact. USAREC and the CMF 18 initiative to<br />

identify specific requirements for special forces NCOs to reenlist is an example of what<br />

should be developed for MOS fill. Essentially, almost half (42% in FY 87 and 49% in<br />

FY88) required retraining. All PS are AFQT CAT I-IIIA and the majority (90%) take the<br />

four year term, 10.5% were females for FY89, 71.6% were white, and 23.9% were black for<br />

FY89.<br />

Ouality. Relevant, empirical research has clearly shown the need for quality (high<br />

school graduates scoring in the top fiftieth percentile on AFQT) in the Army. Quality is<br />

a valid predictor of persistence or likelihood to finish one’s term of service and of ability<br />

to train in the first term. As the body of research on the performance of high quality<br />

soldiers (Army Soldier Performance Research Project (SPRP) etc.) is disseminated, there<br />

will be greater understanding of the value of quality soldiers and the interest in job<br />

performance and aptitude and ability testing is likely to increase; second term and later<br />

performance has yet to be rigorously analyzed, Nevertheless, the amount of quality<br />

required is and will continue to be questioned by Army leadership, OSD, and Congress.<br />

Another issue is the logical leap required to go from individual soldier quality to unit<br />

performance and readiness, although the connections were articulated in 7th annual report<br />

to Congress on linking enlistment standards to job performance, the argument will be<br />

viewed skeptically for some time. The accession quality improvements to date must not be<br />

10

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