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I__. - International Military Testing Association

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each demonstrated in behavior, enhanced their chances of survival (Riider & Minich,<br />

1987).<br />

Of these four psychological characteristics, only morale and will-power can perhaps be<br />

detected in a basic assessment of volunteers. How can we assess whether morale and<br />

will-power of soldiers can be increased to such an extent through training and education<br />

so that they could survive dangerous situations. It is extremely difficult to predict such<br />

an “ultimate” criterion. And because of that we are unable to base a selection and<br />

placement model on aptitude criteria for extreme situations.<br />

It is by no means so that the prediction for “normal” situations are considerably less<br />

difficult than the predictions for dangerous situations. You only have to think of the<br />

quite “normal” prediction of the superior’s ratings at the end of any military training<br />

course, and of the many imponderable factors that can influence the aptitude and<br />

performance rating of an officer candidate.<br />

The environmental factors accompanying military operations, space missions, rescue<br />

operations, or sports activities can - as dangers - drastically affect the behavior of<br />

individuals concerned and have consequences for the life and limb of both those in<br />

charge and their teams, Although predictions are very difficult, psychologists remain<br />

under an obligation for ethical reasons to contribute to predictions by researching into<br />

aptitude criteria and the characteristics of poorer performance and performance enhancement<br />

due to training, in order to improve the selection, the training, and mission<br />

accomplishment with psychological methods.<br />

One example from the domain of sports activities serves as clarification: when dangerous<br />

situations in mountaineering have been analyzed retrospectively from a psychological<br />

view point, it has been noticed that some behavioral characteristics of the men at<br />

risk brought about the potential accidents of guided groups:<br />

- careless and technically deficient safety measures;<br />

- failure to give precise orders, if any at all;<br />

- unrealistic over-estimation of one’s technical skills and fitness;<br />

- euphoria or fatigue combined with decreasing attention;<br />

- arguments and annoyance.<br />

Accidents happen with increasing probability if such behavioral characteristics appear<br />

in the group, and if environmental factors interact in a fateful manner: The guide climbs<br />

a rock passage with crumbling grips and steps; the second member of the group fails to<br />

take adequate securing measures and at the same time chatters to the third member of<br />

the group without observing the guide, who for his part fails to give precise and pressing<br />

instructions to the group to do things right.<br />

The behavioral result of the leader may be a fall, if the environmental factor “loose grip”<br />

comes to bear, a fall which could mean the fall of the whole group because of the<br />

incomplete and inattentive securing, with fatal consequences for all the members. The<br />

guide should be advised to pay attention to the reliability of the members when selecting<br />

. ..~ -I. .- -. _- ._<br />

360

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