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World Energy Outlook 2007

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Figure 1.20: Fuel Mix in <strong>World</strong> Power Generation in the Reference and<br />

Alternative Policy Scenarios<br />

1<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0%<br />

Coal Gas Oil Nuclear Hydro Rest of<br />

renewables<br />

2005 2030 Reference Scenario 2030 Alternative Policy Scenario<br />

Policy Scenario than in the Reference Scenario. Consumers spend $2.3 trillion<br />

more, helping to reduce supply-side capital needs by $2.7 trillion, or 12%.<br />

The biggest reduction in supply-side investment in dollar terms is in the power<br />

sector (Table 1.13). The payback period on demand-side investments is<br />

typically very short, especially in developing countries and for those policies<br />

introduced before 2015.<br />

Table 1.13: Change in Cumulative Investment in <strong>Energy</strong>-Supply<br />

Infrastructure in the Alternative Policy Scenario,* 2006-2030<br />

($ billion in year-2006 dollars)<br />

Coal Oil Gas Power Total<br />

OECD –36 –97 –36 –944 –1 082<br />

Transition economies –11 –16 –95 –100 –222<br />

Developing countries –90 –426 –118 –780 –1 372<br />

<strong>World</strong> –163 –565 –253 –1 824 –2 732<br />

* Relative to the Reference Scenario.<br />

Note: Totals includes biofuels and intra-regional transport.<br />

Chapter 1 - Global <strong>Energy</strong> Trends 107

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