World Energy Outlook 2007

Alternative Policy Scenario: World
Electricity generation Shares (%) Growth (% p.a.) Change vs. RS (%)
(TWh)
2015 2030 2015 2030 2005- 2005- 2015 2030
2015 2030
Total generation 24 654 31 240 100 100 3.1 2.2 –3.5 –11.7
Coal 9 755 10 716 40 34 2.9 1.5 –12.0 –32.2
Oil 1 118 844 5 3 –0.6 –1.4 –4.1 –9.2
Gas 5 150 6 602 21 21 3.7 2.5 –3.4 –18.2
Nuclear 3 262 4 144 13 13 1.6 1.6 5.8 26.5
Hydro 4 089 5 403 17 17 3.4 2.5 7.6 11.6
Biomass and waste 511 1 166 2 4 8.2 6.7 25.6 38.7
Wind 623 1 800 3 6 18.8 11.8 13.5 39.9
Geothermal 100 190 0 1 6.8 5.3 1.2 9.9
Solar 44 352 0 1 29.7 20.6 19.3 118.5
Tide and wave 2 24 0 0 12.3 16.2 24.0 108.1
CO 2
emissions Shares (%) Growth (% p.a.) Change vs. RS (%)
(Mt)
2015 2030 2015 2030 2005- 2005- 2015 2030
2015 2030
Total CO 2
emissions 31 893 33 890 100 100 1.8 1.0 –6.4 –19.1
Coal 13 702 13 630 43 40 2.2 0.9 –9.2 –27.1
Oil 11 581 12 555 36 37 1.2 0.8 –4.5 –12.4
of which bunkers 585 649 2 2 0.7 0.7 –2.2 –5.8
Gas 6 611 7 705 21 23 2.2 1.5 –3.6 –13.2
Power generation 13 314 13 686 100 100 2.0 0.9 –9.4 –26.8
Coal 9 668 9 784 73 71 2.1 0.9 –10.7 –29.5
Oil 873 649 7 5 –0.9 –1.5 –6.5 –14.3
Gas 2 772 3 253 21 24 2.7 1.7 –5.4 –20.0
Total final
consumption 16 386 17 683 100 100 1.7 1.0 –4.4 –13.8
Coal 3 659 3 371 22 19 2.3 0.6 –5.9 –21.6
Oil 9 404 10 479 57 59 1.4 1.0 –4.6 –13.2
Gas 3 323 3 833 20 22 1.9 1.3 –2.2 –7.5
Industry and
non–energy use 6 530 6 768 100 100 2.3 1.1 –4.6 –14.9
Coal 3 204 3 025 49 45 2.7 0.8 –5.9 –21.6
Oil 1 793 1 930 27 29 1.8 1.0 –3.6 –9.1
Gas 1 533 1 813 23 27 2.4 1.6 –2.9 –8.0
Transport 6 188 7 102 100 100 1.4 1.1 –5.1 –14.4
Coal 14 8 0 0 –1.6 –3.0 –1.7 –6.0
Oil 5 967 6 826 96 96 1.4 1.1 –5.4 –15.0
Gas 207 268 3 4 2.3 1.9 2.4 7.1
Residential, services
and agriculture 3 667 3 812 100 100 1.1 0.6 –2.9 –10.5
Coal 441 337 12 9 –0.1 –1.1 –5.8 –21.7
Oil 1 644 1 722 45 45 1.2 0.7 –2.9 –9.8
Gas 1 583 1 753 43 46 1.4 1.0 –2.1 –8.8
A
Annex A – Tables for Reference and Alternative Policy Scenario Projections 595