World Energy Outlook 2007

Alternative Policy Scenario: European Union
Energy demand (Mtoe) Shares (%) Growth (% p.a.) Change vs. RS (%)
2015 2030 2015 2030 2005- 2005- 2015 2030
2015 2030
Total primary energy demand 1 846 1 844 100 100 0.2 0.1 –3.4 –8.1
Coal 218 142 12 8 –3.7 –3.2 –24.9 –48.5
Oil 650 595 35 32 –0.3 –0.5 –4.0 –11.3
Gas 492 529 27 29 1.0 0.7 –3.2 –13.3
Nuclear 269 230 15 12 0.3 –0.5 12.5 44.9
Hydro 34 39 2 2 2.8 1.6 0.4 4.6
Biomass and waste 143 213 8 12 5.5 3.8 13.0 16.6
Other renewables 38 97 2 5 11.5 8.5 15.5 34.7
Power generation 743 732 100 100 0.1 –0.0 –4.5 –9.4
Coal 161 102 22 14 –3.9 –3.4 –30.6 –56.0
Oil 25 11 3 2 –2.9 –4.3 –1.0 –9.9
Gas 165 196 22 27 2.3 1.6 –4.0 –17.8
Nuclear 269 230 36 31 0.3 –0.5 12.5 44.9
Hydro 34 39 5 5 2.8 1.6 0.4 4.6
Biomass and waste 54 75 7 10 6.3 3.8 22.3 14.8
Other renewables 33 79 5 11 11.1 7.9 9.9 21.2
Other energy sector 131 121 100 100 –0.8 –0.6 –2.4 –8.3
Total final consumption 1 354 1 394 100 100 0.4 0.3 –2.9 –8.7
Coal 32 22 2 2 –3.0 –2.6 –2.2 –8.3
Oil 591 550 44 39 –0.2 –0.4 –4.3 –11.9
of which transport 347 332 26 24 –0.4 –0.3 –5.7 –13.3
Gas 311 317 23 23 0.5 0.3 –2.9 –10.8
Electricity 261 277 19 20 1.0 0.6 –4.4 –15.0
Heat 65 72 5 5 –0.8 0.1 –1.1 –2.4
Biomass and waste 89 138 7 10 5.2 3.8 8.1 17.7
of which biofuels 21 41 2 3 21.2 10.8 19.2 28.6
Other renewables 5 18 0 1 15.4 12.0 84.5 162.0
Electricity (TWh) Shares (%) Growth (% p.a.) Change vs. RS (%)
Total generation 3 564 3 783 100 100 0.9 0.6 –4.6 –14.1
Coal 667 445 19 12 –4.0 –3.2 –32.0 –59.3
Oil 117 54 3 1 –1.7 –3.7 –0.3 –5.9
Gas 851 948 24 25 2.5 1.4 –4.5 –30.4
Nuclear 1 033 884 29 23 0.3 –0.5 12.5 44.9
Hydro 401 452 11 12 2.8 1.6 0.4 4.6
Biomass and waste 179 249 5 7 7.8 4.4 22.0 14.8
Wind 292 639 8 17 14.0 8.8 12.8 15.7
Geothermal 8 18 0 0 5.7 5.5 6.2 32.6
Solar 16 77 0 2 24.6 16.3 3.6 33.8
Tide and wave 2 18 0 0 12.7 15.3 25.6 107.5
CO 2
emissions (Mt) Shares (%) Growth (% p.a.) Change vs. RS (%)
Total CO 2
emissions 3 606 3 244 100 100 –0.9 –0.8 –10.1 –22.3
Coal 837 540 23 17 –3.7 –3.2 –26.2 –50.2
Oil 1 642 1 492 46 46 –0.4 –0.5 –4.1 –11.8
Gas 1 126 1 211 31 37 1.0 0.7 –3.3 –13.5
Power generation 1 130 912 100 100 –2.2 –1.7 –21.5 –41.1
Coal 664 418 59 46 –3.9 –3.4 –30.6 –56.0
Oil 81 36 7 4 –2.9 –4.3 –1.0 –9.7
Gas 385 457 34 50 2.3 1.6 –4.0 –17.8
Total final consumption 2 310 2 177 100 100 –0.2 –0.3 –3.9 –11.9
Coal 148 105 6 5 –2.9 –2.5 –2.3 –8.5
Oil 1 448 1 345 63 62 –0.2 –0.4 –4.6 –12.6
Gas 714 727 31 33 0.5 0.3 –2.9 –10.9
A
Annex A – Tables for Reference and Alternative Policy Scenario Projections 617