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World Energy Outlook 2007

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in the form of coking coal, grow steadily, from 46 Mtce in 2005 to 63 Mtce in<br />

2030. Australia, with some of the lowest production costs in the world<br />

(Figure 1.11), remains the biggest exporter of both steam coal and coking coal.<br />

1<br />

Figure 1.10: <strong>World</strong> Coal Production by Type in the Reference Scenario<br />

8 000<br />

million tonnes of coal equivalent<br />

7 000<br />

6 000<br />

5 000<br />

4 000<br />

3 000<br />

2 000<br />

1 000<br />

1 732 Mt<br />

815 Mt<br />

4 178 Mt<br />

1 329 Mt<br />

941 Mt<br />

6 098 Mt<br />

1 456 Mt<br />

1 151 Mt<br />

8 697 Mt<br />

1 647 Mt<br />

1 297 Mt<br />

11 261 Mt<br />

0<br />

1990 2005 2015 2030<br />

Steam coal<br />

Coking coal<br />

Brown coal and peat<br />

Figure 1.11: FOB* Cash Costs and Prices of <strong>World</strong> Steam Coal from Major<br />

Exporters, 2005<br />

70<br />

dollars per tonne<br />

(at 6 350 kcal per kg NAR)<br />

60<br />

50<br />

40<br />

30<br />

20<br />

10<br />

0<br />

Australia (Queensland<br />

large opencast)<br />

Indonesia<br />

Colombia<br />

South Africa<br />

Australia (New South Wales<br />

opencast and Queensland<br />

small opencast)<br />

0 100 200 300 400 480<br />

China<br />

million tonnes (at 6 350 kcal per kg NAR)<br />

Australia (underground and<br />

expensive opencast)<br />

Russia<br />

United States<br />

Average cost<br />

Average price<br />

* Free on board (free at ship-side for the United States).<br />

Source: IEA-CCC (<strong>2007</strong>).<br />

Chapter 1 - Global <strong>Energy</strong> Trends 91

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