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World Energy Outlook 2007

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in 1991 – right when the market opened – investment in India's power sector<br />

topped $840 million. At that time, this was 62% of total investment going into<br />

electricity projects in middle- and low-income countries. Between 1992 and<br />

2005 this share fluctuated between almost 0% and 13%, with the exception of<br />

2004, when investment surged again and the share reached 29%. That year,<br />

total Indian private-sector electricity investment reached $4 billion, a sign that<br />

the private sector evaluation of the conditions for investment had changed. It<br />

is too early to say if this trend will be sustained: there was a sharp fall in 2005.<br />

The government remains fully alert to the need to get the conditions right.<br />

Figure 17.18: Private Investment in India's Electricity Sector, 1991- 2005<br />

million dollars (2006)<br />

4 500<br />

3 750<br />

3 000<br />

2 250<br />

1 500<br />

750<br />

70%<br />

60%<br />

50%<br />

40%<br />

30%<br />

20%<br />

10%<br />

0<br />

1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005<br />

0%<br />

Investment<br />

Share in total* (right-axis)<br />

* Total in low- and middle-income countries as defined by the <strong>World</strong> Bank, including the transition economies.<br />

Source: IEA analysis based on the <strong>World</strong> Bank's Private Participation in Infrastructure database.<br />

Most private investment has been directed towards greenfield (new) power<br />

stations, with a few projects involving transmission, connections and changes<br />

of ownership. The companies involved in these projects have been mainly<br />

Indian, particularly in recent years. Companies outside India have come mainly<br />

from the United States, but companies from the United Kingdom, Japan,<br />

Switzerland, Norway, China and Malaysia have also been involved.<br />

Many private projects have faced delays and many have been criticised as being<br />

too costly. Some projects have faced fuel supply problems once they became<br />

operational. For example, as noted earlier, some gas-fired power plants have<br />

had to rely on expensive naphtha, because gas supply was short, while others<br />

17<br />

Chapter 17 - Reference Scenario Supply Projections 527

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