World Energy Outlook 2007

Alternative Policy Scenario: World
Energy demand Shares (%) Growth (% p.a.) Change vs. RS (%)
(Mtoe)
2015 2030 2015 2030 2005- 2005- 2015 2030
2015 2030
Total primary energy demand 13 818 15 783 100 100 1.9 1.3 –3.8 –10.9
Coal 3 643 3 700 26 23 2.3 1.0 –8.7 –25.9
Oil 4 512 4 911 33 31 1.2 0.8 –4.4 –12.1
of which bunkers 184 204 1 1 0.7 0.7 –2.2 –5.8
Gas 2 938 3 447 21 22 2.2 1.5 –3.5 –12.7
Nuclear 850 1 080 6 7 1.7 1.6 5.8 26.5
Hydro 352 465 3 3 3.4 2.5 7.6 11.6
Biomass and waste 1 359 1 738 10 11 1.7 1.7 1.9 7.6
Other renewables 165 444 1 3 10.4 8.2 13.6 44.1
Power generation 5 354 6 298 100 100 2.3 1.6 –4.6 –12.8
Coal 2 401 2 438 45 39 2.1 0.9 –10.7 –29.5
Oil 273 203 5 3 –0.8 –1.5 –6.6 –14.5
Gas 1 183 1 388 22 22 2.7 1.7 –5.4 –20.1
Nuclear 850 1 080 16 17 1.7 1.6 5.8 26.5
Hydro 352 465 7 7 3.4 2.5 7.6 11.6
Biomass and waste 164 400 3 6 7.9 6.8 26.0 45.4
Other renewables 130 325 2 5 9.8 7.7 6.3 30.2
Other energy sector 1 418 1 669 100 100 2.2 1.5 –3.0 –10.3
of which electricity 351 412 25 25 2.5 1.6 –5.3 –15.6
Total final consumption 9 324 10 623 100 100 1.9 1.3 –3.4 –10.4
Coal 840 770 9 7 2.4 0.6 –5.9 –21.6
Oil 3 751 4 160 40 39 1.4 1.0 –4.5 –12.7
Gas 1 494 1 742 16 16 2.0 1.4 –2.1 –7.1
Electricity 1 765 2 247 19 21 3.2 2.2 –3.5 –12.1
Heat 300 311 3 3 1.1 0.6 –2.7 –9.4
Biomass and waste 1 139 1 275 12 12 1.1 0.9 –0.7 –0.2
Other renewables 34 119 0 1 13.1 10.4 53.5 103.9
Industry and non–energy use 3 649 4 114 100 100 2.6 1.5 –3.1 –10.1
Coal 737 694 20 17 2.9 0.9 –5.9 –21.6
Oil 1 025 1 097 28 27 1.6 0.9 –3.5 –8.8
Gas 717 854 20 21 2.4 1.7 –2.9 –7.8
Electricity 809 1 022 22 25 4.0 2.5 –2.5 –10.3
Heat 123 117 3 3 1.0 0.2 –1.9 –10.2
Biomass and waste 236 323 6 8 2.5 2.3 5.5 12.4
Other renewables 1 7 0 0 12.0 11.3 44.7 126.2
Transport 2 369 2 797 100 100 1.7 1.3 –4.1 –11.6
Oil 2 171 2 481 92 89 1.4 1.1 –5.4 –15.0
Biofuels 78 164 3 6 15.3 9.0 38.0 60.8
Other fuels 120 152 5 5 2.2 1.8 2.5 7.3
Residential, services
and agriculture 3 306 3 711 100 100 1.3 1.0 –3.4 –10.0
Coal 99 74 3 2 –0.3 –1.3 –5.8 –22.3
Oil 554 582 17 16 1.2 0.7 –2.9 –9.8
Gas 689 773 21 21 1.5 1.1 –2.0 –8.2
Electricity 929 1 189 28 32 2.6 2.0 –4.5 –14.1
Heat 177 194 5 5 1.1 0.8 –3.3 –9.0
Biomass and waste 825 788 25 21 0.1 –0.1 –4.9 –11.3
Other renewables 33 112 1 3 13.1 10.3 53.9 102.8
594
World Energy Outlook 2007- ANNEXES