World Energy Outlook 2007

Alternative Policy Scenario: United States
Energy demand (Mtoe) Shares (%) Growth (% p.a.) Change vs. RS (%)
2015 2030 2015 2030 2005- 2005- 2015 2030
2015 2030
Total primary energy demand 2 574 2 712 100 100 1.0 0.6 –2.1 –7.3
Coal 592 571 23 21 0.6 0.1 –5.2 –20.1
Oil 1 009 1 015 39 37 0.6 0.3 –3.2 –9.2
Gas 562 562 22 21 1.0 0.4 –1.5 –5.6
Nuclear 221 278 9 10 0.5 1.1 – 14.4
Hydro 25 26 1 1 0.7 0.3 0.2 –
Biomass and waste 129 179 5 7 5.7 3.6 12.2 8.2
Other renewables 36 82 1 3 11.9 8.1 16.0 29.0
Power generation 1 059 1 109 100 100 1.0 0.6 –1.9 –8.1
Coal 543 497 51 45 0.7 –0.1 –5.4 –21.6
Oil 31 22 3 2 –0.7 –1.7 –1.1 –7.7
Gas 165 156 16 14 0.6 0.0 0.3 –2.1
Nuclear 221 278 21 25 0.5 1.1 – 14.4
Hydro 25 26 2 2 0.7 0.3 0.2 –
Biomass and waste 46 70 4 6 7.9 4.8 23.2 1.9
Other renewables 27 60 3 5 11.2 7.7 3.6 15.6
Other energy sector 156 191 100 100 0.1 0.8 –1.8 –6.5
Total final consumption 1 784 1 889 100 100 1.1 0.7 –2.2 –7.2
Coal 29 25 2 1 –0.5 –0.8 –2.8 –5.7
Oil 934 953 52 50 0.8 0.4 –3.3 –9.6
of which transport 668 682 37 36 0.7 0.4 –3.9 –11.4
Gas 359 360 20 19 1.1 0.5 –2.3 –7.0
Electricity 366 415 21 22 1.4 1.0 –2.3 –8.6
Heat 4 5 0 0 2.9 1.7 –2.9 –6.0
Biomass and waste 83 108 5 6 4.7 3.0 6.8 12.8
of which biofuels 28 43 2 2 13.0 6.9 29.2 53.1
Other renewables 8 22 0 1 14.8 9.9 91.7 89.5
Electricity (TWh) Shares (%) Growth (% p.a.) Change vs. RS (%)
Total generation 4 850 5 450 100 100 1.3 1.0 –2.2 –8.4
Coal 2 402 2 437 50 45 1.1 0.5 –5.9 –22.6
Oil 132 94 3 2 –0.7 –1.6 –1.1 –7.5
Gas 862 886 18 16 1.0 0.5 0.4 –1.1
Nuclear 849 1 067 18 20 0.5 1.1 – 14.4
Hydro 292 297 6 5 0.7 0.3 0.2 –
Biomass and waste 141 213 3 4 7.1 4.5 23.2 1.9
Wind 130 344 3 6 21.9 12.6 8.5 21.9
Geothermal 30 49 1 1 7.3 4.9 – –
Solar 13 62 0 1 35.3 20.3 7.9 102.8
Tide and wave 0 1 0 0 n.a. n.a. – 125.1
CO 2
emissions (Mt) Shares (%) Growth (% p.a.) Change vs. RS (%)
Total CO 2
emissions 6 160 5 986 100 100 0.6 0.1 –3.6 –13.1
Coal 2 278 2 106 37 35 0.7 –0.0 –5.2 –20.7
Oil 2 572 2 571 42 43 0.5 0.2 –3.3 –9.7
Gas 1 310 1 310 21 22 0.9 0.3 –1.5 –5.6
Power generation 2 623 2 391 100 100 0.6 –0.1 –4.4 –18.8
Coal 2 136 1 954 81 82 0.7 –0.1 –5.4 –21.6
Oil 102 72 4 3 –0.8 –1.8 –1.1 –7.7
Gas 385 365 15 15 0.6 0.0 0.3 –2.1
Total final consumption 3 286 3 314 100 100 0.7 0.3 –3.2 –9.3
Coal 125 109 4 3 –0.1 –0.6 –2.8 –5.7
Oil 2 332 2 375 71 72 0.6 0.3 –3.5 –10.2
Gas 829 830 25 25 1.1 0.4 –2.2 –7.0
A
Annex A – Tables for Reference and Alternative Policy Scenario Projections 609