World Energy Outlook 2007

Alternative Policy Scenario: OECD Europe
Energy demand (Mtoe) Shares (%) Growth (% p.a.) Change vs. RS (%)
2015 2030 2015 2030 2005- 2005- 2015 2030
2015 2030
Total primary energy demand 1 925 1 946 100 100 0.3 0.2 –3.6 –8.5
Coal 232 163 12 8 –3.2 –2.7 –25.1 –48.0
Oil 682 631 35 32 –0.3 –0.4 –4.0 –10.9
Gas 507 548 26 28 1.1 0.8 –3.4 –13.4
Nuclear 265 219 14 11 0.4 –0.6 12.0 46.2
Hydro 51 58 3 3 2.1 1.3 1.8 4.3
Biomass and waste 144 214 7 11 5.4 3.8 13.0 16.2
Other renewables 44 113 2 6 11.3 8.4 15.0 38.3
Power generation 769 771 100 100 0.4 0.1 –4.9 –10.4
Coal 163 112 21 15 –3.5 –2.9 –31.5 –56.5
Oil 24 11 3 1 –2.7 –4.1 0.3 –1.5
Gas 175 208 23 27 2.5 1.7 –4.2 –17.4
Nuclear 265 219 34 28 0.4 –0.6 12.0 46.2
Hydro 51 58 7 8 2.1 1.3 1.8 4.3
Biomass and waste 54 76 7 10 6.2 3.8 23.2 14.8
Other renewables 36 87 5 11 11.4 8.2 10.2 26.1
Other energy sector 135 127 100 100 –0.9 –0.6 –2.6 –8.3
Total final consumption 1 422 1 478 100 100 0.5 0.3 –3.1 –8.7
Coal 44 34 3 2 –1.8 –1.7 –3.4 –9.0
Oil 622 584 44 40 –0.1 –0.3 –4.4 –11.6
of which transport 362 349 25 24 –0.3 –0.3 –5.4 –12.7
Gas 313 322 22 22 0.6 0.3 –3.1 –11.1
Electricity 284 306 20 21 1.1 0.7 –4.6 –14.8
Heat 61 67 4 5 –1.0 0.0 –0.6 –1.2
Biomass and waste 90 138 6 9 5.0 3.7 7.7 17.0
of which biofuels 21 41 2 3 21.2 10.8 19.2 28.6
Other renewables 8 26 1 2 10.9 9.2 42.5 102.8
Electricity (TWh) Shares (%) Growth (% p.a.) Change vs. RS (%)
Total generation 3 834 4 137 100 100 1.0 0.7 –4.8 –14.1
Coal 684 494 18 12 –3.6 –2.7 –33.3 –60.1
Oil 118 56 3 1 –1.3 –3.4 0.4 –1.2
Gas 918 1 015 24 25 2.4 1.4 –4.7 –29.6
Nuclear 1 017 839 27 20 0.4 –0.6 12.0 46.2
Hydro 597 675 16 16 2.1 1.3 1.8 4.3
Biomass and waste 177 250 5 6 7.4 4.3 23.2 14.8
Wind 295 688 8 17 14.1 9.1 14.2 23.6
Geothermal 11 23 0 1 5.9 5.3 4.6 26.7
Solar 16 79 0 2 24.6 16.4 4.2 36.1
Tide and wave 2 18 0 0 12.7 15.3 25.6 107.8
CO 2
emissions (Mt) Shares (%) Growth (% p.a.) Change vs. RS (%)
Total CO 2
emissions 3 782 3 477 100 100 –0.7 –0.6 –10.3 –22.6
Coal 894 631 24 18 –3.2 –2.7 –26.2 –49.4
Oil 1 727 1 589 46 46 –0.3 –0.4 –4.1 –11.3
Gas 1 161 1 258 31 36 1.1 0.8 –3.4 –13.5
Power generation 1 161 983 100 100 –1.8 –1.4 –22.0 –41.7
Coal 675 462 58 47 –3.5 –2.9 –31.5 –56.5
Oil 78 36 7 4 –2.7 –4.1 0.3 –1.5
Gas 409 485 35 49 2.5 1.7 –4.2 –17.4
Total final consumption 2 442 2 322 100 100 –0.1 –0.2 –4.1 –11.8
Coal 196 152 8 7 –1.8 –1.7 –3.4 –9.1
Oil 1 527 1 431 63 62 –0.2 –0.3 –4.6 –12.3
Gas 719 739 29 32 0.6 0.3 –3.1 –11.2
A
Annex A – Tables for Reference and Alternative Policy Scenario Projections 615