World Energy Outlook 2007

Reference Scenario: OECD
Energy demand (Mtoe) Shares (%) Growth (% p.a.)
1990 2005 2015 2030 2005 2015 2030 2005- 2005-
2015 2030
Total primary energy demand 4 518 5 542 6 180 6 800 100 100 100 1.1 0.8
Coal 1 063 1 130 1 225 1 318 20 20 19 0.8 0.6
Oil 1 893 2 247 2 385 2 478 41 39 36 0.6 0.4
Gas 844 1 211 1 425 1 654 22 23 24 1.6 1.3
Nuclear 449 611 642 616 11 10 9 0.5 0.0
Hydro 101 109 121 130 2 2 2 1.1 0.7
Biomass and waste 141 194 291 415 4 5 6 4.1 3.1
Other renewables 28 39 91 187 1 1 3 8.8 6.5
Power generation 1 702 2 231 2 538 2 814 100 100 100 1.3 0.9
Coal 751 917 1 021 1 097 41 40 39 1.1 0.7
Oil 149 118 101 64 5 4 2 –1.5 –2.4
Gas 175 382 482 599 17 19 21 2.3 1.8
Nuclear 449 611 642 616 27 25 22 0.5 0.0
Hydro 101 109 121 130 5 5 5 1.1 0.7
Biomass and waste 52 60 93 154 3 4 5 4.5 3.8
Other renewables 25 33 78 154 1 3 5 9.0 6.4
Other energy sector 379 442 455 526 100 100 100 0.3 0.7
Total final consumption 3 136 3 850 4 324 4 810 100 100 100 1.2 0.9
Coal 229 126 118 106 3 3 2 –0.7 –0.7
Oil 1 639 1 999 2 167 2 302 52 50 48 0.8 0.6
of which transport 961 1 255 1 370 1 493 33 32 31 0.9 0.7
Gas 590 739 839 923 19 19 19 1.3 0.9
Electricity 547 769 917 1 103 20 21 23 1.8 1.5
Heat 40 76 73 82 2 2 2 –0.5 0.3
Biomass and waste 89 134 197 261 3 5 5 3.9 2.7
of which biofuels 0 11 40 62 0 1 1 13.5 7.0
Other renewables 3 6 13 33 0 0 1 7.7 7.0
Electricity (TWh) Shares (%) Growth (% p.a.)
Total generation 7 569 10 391 12 228 14 597 100 100 100 1.6 1.4
Coal 3 060 3 947 4 552 5 398 38 37 37 1.4 1.3
Oil 694 538 467 295 5 4 2 –1.4 –2.4
Gas 770 1 958 2 517 3 363 19 21 23 2.5 2.2
Nuclear 1 725 2 348 2 462 2 364 23 20 16 0.5 0.0
Hydro 1 170 1 270 1 412 1 510 12 12 10 1.1 0.7
Biomass and waste 117 192 304 492 2 2 3 4.7 3.8
Wind 4 102 420 959 1 3 7 15.2 9.4
Geothermal 29 33 58 93 0 0 1 5.9 4.2
Solar 1 3 34 112 0 0 1 29.3 16.3
Tide and wave 1 1 1 11 0 0 0 10.1 12.9
CO 2
emissions (Mt) Shares (%) Growth (% p.a.)
Total CO 2
emissions 11 053 12 838 14 054 15 067 100 100 100 0.9 0.6
Coal 4 102 4 335 4 733 5 007 34 34 33 0.9 0.6
Oil 5 033 5 701 6 044 6 267 44 43 42 0.6 0.4
Gas 1 918 2 802 3 276 3 794 22 23 25 1.6 1.2
Power generation 3 911 4 987 5 588 6 044 100 100 100 1.1 0.8
Coal 3 029 3 710 4 135 4 438 74 74 73 1.1 0.7
Oil 473 382 326 207 8 6 3 –1.6 –2.4
Gas 409 895 1 126 1 399 18 20 23 2.3 1.8
Total final consumption 6 550 7 219 7 820 8 308 100 100 100 0.8 0.6
Coal 1 011 562 533 481 8 7 6 –0.5 –0.6
Oil 4 196 4 955 5 357 5 705 69 69 69 0.8 0.6
Gas 1 342 1 702 1 930 2 122 24 25 26 1.3 0.9
604
World Energy Outlook 2007- ANNEXES