World Energy Outlook 2007

Alternative Policy Scenario: Africa
Energy demand (Mtoe) Shares (%) Growth (% p.a.) Change vs. RS (%)
2015 2030 2015 2030 2005- 2005- 2015 2030
2015 2030
Total primary energy demand 699 852 100 100 1.4 1.4 –3.7 –9.6
Coal 106 106 15 12 0.4 0.1 –6.8 –19.6
Oil 150 190 21 22 1.2 1.4 –6.7 –15.1
Gas 110 150 16 18 4.3 3.0 –4.6 –15.3
Nuclear 4 6 1 1 2.5 2.8 – 55.6
Hydro 13 25 2 3 5.2 4.8 23.5 26.7
Biomass and waste 314 363 45 43 0.9 0.9 –1.9 –4.5
Other renewables 3 13 0 1 11.1 11.0 27.4 87.6
Power generation 161 231 100 100 2.7 2.6 –4.8 –9.9
Coal 59 60 37 26 0.0 0.1 –11.0 –27.4
Oil 12 9 8 4 –3.1 –2.3 –2.2 –8.8
Gas 65 95 40 41 6.5 4.1 –5.9 –19.6
Nuclear 4 6 2 3 2.5 2.8 – 55.6
Hydro 13 25 8 11 5.2 4.8 23.5 26.7
Biomass and waste 6 28 4 12 27.3 17.0 19.3 60.5
Other renewables 2 7 1 3 5.3 8.7 8.9 67.5
Other energy sector 98 116 100 100 1.5 1.3 –1.0 –3.9
Total final consumption 509 613 100 100 1.3 1.3 –3.8 –10.4
Coal 20 19 4 3 1.3 0.3 –1.1 –7.7
Oil 130 167 26 27 1.4 1.6 –7.4 –16.3
of which transport 72 101 14 16 1.0 1.7 –11.2 –21.6
Gas 29 37 6 6 1.5 1.6 –2.9 –8.0
Electricity 56 88 11 14 3.5 3.3 –3.4 –8.8
Heat 0 0 0 0 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a.
Biomass and waste 273 296 54 48 0.8 0.6 –2.5 –8.6
of which biofuels 1 3 0 0 n.a. n.a. 11.0 –2.5
Other renewables 1 5 0 1 144.6 52.3 67.8 125.9
Electricity (TWh) Shares (%) Growth (% p.a.) Change vs. RS (%)
Total generation 792 1 242 100 100 3.5 3.2 –3.5 –8.8
Coal 257 285 32 23 0.2 0.5 –12.4 –28.3
Oil 46 35 6 3 –2.3 –1.9 –2.3 –9.3
Gas 299 465 38 37 7.1 4.6 –7.2 –22.4
Nuclear 15 23 2 2 2.5 2.8 – 55.6
Hydro 151 293 19 24 5.2 4.8 23.5 26.7
Biomass and waste 16 74 2 6 38.3 21.0 19.2 60.5
Wind 6 30 1 2 22.1 15.4 20.7 87.2
Geothermal 3 11 0 1 20.6 13.7 1.6 17.5
Solar 0 25 0 2 –26.9 16.5 – n.a.
Tide and wave 0 0 0 0 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a.
CO 2
emissions (Mt) Shares (%) Growth (% p.a.) Change vs. RS (%)
Total CO 2
emissions 943 1 118 100 100 1.2 1.2 –6.9 –18.1
Coal 299 298 32 27 –0.2 –0.1 –8.9 –23.8
Oil 400 484 42 43 0.7 1.0 –6.8 –15.8
Gas 243 336 26 30 4.5 3.1 –4.6 –15.7
Power generation 419 483 100 100 1.5 1.2 –8.5 –23.0
Coal 229 232 55 48 0.0 0.1 –11.0 –27.4
Oil 39 30 9 6 –3.1 –2.3 –2.2 –8.8
Gas 152 221 36 46 6.5 4.1 –5.9 –19.6
Total final consumption 476 587 100 100 1.0 1.3 –6.1 –14.5
Coal 70 66 15 11 –1.0 –0.6 –1.2 –7.9
Oil 347 445 73 76 1.4 1.5 –7.5 –16.5
Gas 58 76 12 13 1.8 1.8 –2.8 –7.9
A
Annex A – Tables for Reference and Alternative Policy Scenario Projections 631