World Energy Outlook 2007

Table 10.5: China’s Natural Gas Production in the Reference Scenario (bcm)
2005 2015 2030
Existing fields 20.6 30.8 12.4
Jingbian-Hengshan 7.6 23.3 10.0
Yacheng 13-1 3.0 1.5 0.5
Karamay Complex 2.7 0.5 0.0
Dongxin 0.9 0.6 0.3
Sebei-1 1.1 0.7 0.3
Pucheng 0.6 0.2 0.1
Shaping 0.9 1.0 0.3
Xinchang 1.4 1.4 0.4
Zhongba 0.3 0.0 0.0
Tahe 0.5 0.6 0.2
Suinan-Moxi 0.8 0.6 0.1
Pinghu 0.4 0.3 0.1
Jinzhou 20-2 0.4 0.2 0.0
Other fields and developments 30.1 71.9 98.4
Fields awaiting development – 59.7 65.0
Other currently producing fields and new discoveries 30.1 12.2 33.3
10
Total 50.7 102.7 110.8
Sources: IHS Energy databases; IEA analysis.
The major expansion of China’s gas production projected here will call for
considerable investment in pipeline and storage infrastructure, particularly
since production will be increasingly concentrated in the centre and west of the
country, while demand is concentrated in the southern and eastern provinces.
The West-East pipeline, built by CNPC and fully completed in 2005, connects
the Tarim basin in the remote western Xinjiang Uygur autonomous region to
Shanghai. It has an estimated capacity of about 12 bcm per year, which is to be
increased to 17 bcm by the beginning of the next decade. Pipeline capacity is
expected to be supplemented substantially by 2010, through the addition of a
second line with a capacity of 30 bcm per year. The West-East pipeline forms
the backbone of an ambitious plan to develop a national gas network, involving
20 000 km of pipelines. Reserves from the Ordos and Junggar basins – and
imports from Turkmenistan and Kazakhstan – will also feed into the pipeline
later.
Chapter 10 - Reference Scenario Supply Projections 331