World Energy Outlook 2007

Table 13.4: Electricity Generation Fuel Mix in China’s Coastal Region (TWh)
2000 2005 2015 2030 2005- 2005-
2015* 2030*
Coal 575 1 054 2 332 4 016 8.3% 5.5%
Oil 44 52 52 43 0.0% –0.7%
Gas 1 4 67 249 31.6% 17.6%
Nuclear 17 53 123 256 8.8% 6.5%
Hydro 51 65 75 90 1.4% 1.3%
Biomass and waste 1 3 6 33 5.6% 9.7%
Other renewables – 1 29 82 35.8% 17.8%
Total 688 1 233 2 684 4 769 8.1% 5.6%
* Average annual rate of growth.
To meet demand growth over the Outlook period, the coastal region needs to
increase electricity generating capacity from 172 GW in 2005 to 773 GW
by 2030 (Figure 13.6). Steam coal is projected to account for 76% of
incremental capacity. Onshore wind emerges as a new source of generation
towards the end of the projection period, and represents 3% of generating
capacity in 2030. The majority of onshore wind is located on the coast, but the
inland region catches up by 2030.
Figure 13.6: Power Generating Capacity in the Coastal Region (GW)
13
800
700
600
500
GW
400
300
200
100
0
2005 2015 2030
Coal Gas Oil Hydro Nuclear Biomass Other renewables
Chapter 13 – Focus on the Coastal Region 413