World Energy Outlook 2007

Alternative Policy Scenario: Middle East
Energy demand (Mtoe) Shares (%) Growth (% p.a.) Change vs. RS (%)
2015 2030 2015 2030 2005- 2005- 2015 2030
2015 2030
Total primary energy demand 681 866 100 100 3.1 2.2 –7.2 –15.7
Coal 11 12 2 1 1.9 1.3 –21.4 –36.7
Oil 365 420 54 49 2.9 1.7 –5.4 –9.4
Gas 295 407 43 47 3.2 2.6 –9.5 –23.0
Nuclear 2 2 0 0 n.a. n.a. – –
Hydro 3 4 0 0 5.7 3.1 5.0 1.1
Biomass and waste 3 9 0 1 10.9 9.0 21.4 57.1
Other renewables 3 12 0 1 13.6 11.4 69.1 n.a.
Power generation 213 270 100 100 2.5 2.0 –15.5 –31.0
Coal 9 11 4 4 1.7 1.3 –23.9 –38.1
Oil 65 66 30 25 1.0 0.5 –14.8 –23.7
Gas 132 176 62 65 3.1 2.4 –16.3 –36.2
Nuclear 2 2 1 1 n.a. n.a. – –
Hydro 3 4 1 1 5.7 3.1 5.0 1.1
Biomass and waste 2 7 1 3 n.a. n.a. 46.2 83.8
Other renewables 0 4 0 1 78.0 38.1 6.9 189.2
Other energy sector 76 102 100 100 2.1 2.0 –2.0 –5.5
Total final consumption 472 611 100 100 3.7 2.5 –3.1 –7.3
Coal 1 1 0 0 5.5 2.0 –5.6 –30.2
Oil 275 320 58 52 3.3 1.9 –3.2 –6.4
of which transport 144 156 30 26 3.1 1.6 –4.2 –6.5
Gas 129 186 27 31 4.1 3.1 –3.4 –9.6
Electricity 64 94 14 15 4.1 3.2 –3.8 –10.9
Heat 0 0 0 0 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a.
Biomass and waste 1 2 0 0 2.2 2.7 –0.5 2.1
of which biofuels 0 1 0 0 n.a. n.a. 5.0 12.5
Other renewables 2 8 1 1 12.0 9.7 85.9 n.a
Electricity (TWh) Shares (%) Growth (% p.a.) Change vs. RS (%)
Total generation 947 1 357 100 100 4.0 3.1 –2.6 –10.9
Coal 43 51 5 4 2.0 1.4 –21.8 –39.6
Oil 284 306 30 23 1.7 1.0 –3.8 –7.1
Gas 568 887 60 65 5.2 3.9 –1.0 –14.2
Nuclear 7 7 1 1 n.a. n.a. – –
Hydro 37 45 4 3 5.7 3.1 5.0 1.1
Biomass and waste 4 17 0 1 n.a. n.a. 46.2 83.8
Wind 4 23 0 2 74.9 34.5 8.3 134.9
Geothermal 0 0 0 0 n.a. n.a. – 18.5
Solar 1 22 0 2 35.4 29.4 – n.a.
Tide and wave 0 0 0 0 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a.
CO 2
emissions (Mt) Shares (%) Growth (% p.a.) Change vs. RS (%)
Total CO 2
emissions 1 652 2 033 100 100 2.9 2.0 –7.9 –17.5
Coal 43 48 3 2 2.3 1.4 –21.2 –37.0
Oil 951 1 078 58 53 2.8 1.6 –5.9 –10.2
Gas 659 906 40 45 3.2 2.6 –9.8 –23.7
Power generation 547 660 100 100 2.2 1.6 –16.3 –32.9
Coal 35 41 6 6 1.7 1.3 –23.9 –38.1
Oil 203 208 37 32 1.0 0.5 –14.8 –23.7
Gas 309 411 56 62 3.1 2.4 –16.3 –36.2
Total final consumption 983 1 211 100 100 3.5 2.3 –3.3 –7.7
Coal 8 7 1 1 5.7 2.1 –5.6 –30.2
Oil 697 802 71 66 3.3 1.9 –3.3 –6.5
Gas 278 401 28 33 4.0 3.1 –3.4 –9.6
A
Annex A – Tables for Reference and Alternative Policy Scenario Projections 629