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World Energy Outlook 2007

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For example, the current value of Chinese investment in African oil is<br />

equivalent to 8% of IOC investment, and 3% of all commercial investment<br />

(Downs, <strong>2007</strong>).<br />

Table 10.3: Chinese Oil Companies’ Foreign Equity Oil Production, 2004<br />

Country/company b/d Share (%)<br />

Sudan 134 752 36<br />

Kazakhstan 110 452 30<br />

Indonesia 46 941 13<br />

Other 80 225 21<br />

Total 372 370 100<br />

Of which CNPC (including PetroChina) 329 810 89<br />

CNOOC 29 941 8<br />

Sinochem 8 603 2<br />

Sinopec 4 016 1<br />

Source: Downs (2006).<br />

Whatever the underlying reasons for the going-out policy and its implications<br />

for energy security, Chinese companies certainly benefit from it in competing<br />

with other companies to acquire overseas assets. The Chinese state, by far the<br />

dominant stakeholder in these companies, sets the financial targets which are<br />

significantly less onerous than those of the international oil companies.<br />

Moreover, the Chinese companies benefit from privileged terms on loans from<br />

Chinese state banks. The Chinese government also helps the national<br />

companies to acquire assets overseas through active diplomacy and<br />

development aid to resource-rich countries. However, it is not clear that such<br />

assistance is a major factor in enhancing the competitiveness of China’s NOCs<br />

compared to IOCs and other NOCs.<br />

Natural Gas Supply<br />

Gas Resources and Reserves<br />

China’s proven reserves of natural gas amounted to 3 720 bcm at the end of<br />

2006, equal to 2% of world gas reserves (Cedigaz, <strong>2007</strong>). On the basis of IHS<br />

data, we estimate that recoverable, proven and probable reserves from<br />

identified fields are approximately 30% higher, at around 5 000 bcm. We<br />

estimate that 80% of proven and probable reserves are non-associated gas, of<br />

328 <strong>World</strong> <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Outlook</strong> <strong>2007</strong> - CHINA’S ENERGY PROSPECTS

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