World Energy Outlook 2007

(Table 1.8). India and China experience the fastest rates of demand growth.
The share of electricity in total final energy consumption increases in all
regions. Globally, it rises from 17% in 2005 to 22% in 2030.
1
Table 1.8: World Electricity Demand in the Reference Scenario
(TWh)
1980 2000 2005 2015 2030 2005-
2030*
OECD 4 738 8 226 8 948 10 667 12 828 1.5%
North America 2 385 4 140 4 406 5 227 6 390 1.5%
Europe 1 709 2 700 2 957 3 467 4 182 1.4%
Pacific 645 1 386 1 585 1 973 2 257 1.4%
Transition economies 1 098 1 015 1 099 1 381 1 729 1.8%
Russia n.a. 607 647 792 968 1.6%
Developing countries 958 3 368 4 969 9 230 15 180 4.6%
China 259 1 081 2 033 4 409 7 100 5.1%
India 90 369 478 950 2 104 6.1%
Other Asia 129 575 766 1 306 1 927 3.8%
Middle East 75 371 501 779 1 228 3.6%
Africa 158 346 457 669 1 122 3.7%
Latin America 248 626 734 1 116 1 700 3.4%
World 6 794 12 609 15 016 21 278 29 737 2.8%
European Union n.a. 2 524 2 755 3 179 3 786 1.3%
* Average annual rate of growth.
Total power generation is projected to grow from 18 197 TWh in 2005 to
35 384 TWh in 2030. 9 The share of coal-fired power stations in total
generation increases from 40% now to 45% in 2030, while the share of gasfired
generation grows from 20% to 23%. The share of non-hydro renewable
energy sources continues to increase, from 2% now to about 7% by the end
of the projection period. Oil use in power generation continues to decline,
from 7% to 3%, while hydropower’s share also edges lower from 16% to 14%.
Nuclear power suffers the largest fall in market share, dropping from 15% in
2005 to 9% in 2030. Coal continues to dominate the fuel mix in most
regions, though its share increases in non-OECD regions and falls in the
OECD (Figure 1.12).
9. Electricity generation is equal to final demand plus network losses and own use of electricity at
power plants.
Chapter 1 - Global Energy Trends 93