World Energy Outlook 2007

APPENDIX TO CHAPTER 13:
CHINA COASTAL REFERENCE SCENARIO
PROJECTIONS
For definitions, please refer to Annex A and Annex B at the end of the book.
Energy demand (Mtoe) Shares (%) Growth (% p.a.)
2000 2005 2015 2030 2005 2015 2030 2005- 2005-
2015 2030
Total primary energy demand 566 954 1 479 2 050 100 100 100 4.5 3.1
Coal 356 633 997 1 285 66 67 63 4.7 2.9
Oil 123 214 328 490 22 22 24 4.4 3.4
Gas 4 13 55 131 1 4 6 15.1 9.6
Nuclear 4 14 32 67 1 2 3 8.8 6.5
Hydro 4 6 6 8 1 0 0 1.4 1.3
Biomass and waste 74 74 58 62 8 4 3 –2.4 –0.7
Other renewables 0 0 3 7 0 0 0 35.9 17.8
Power generation 175 344 643 1 043 100 100 100 6.4 4.5
Coal 154 310 568 881 90 88 85 6.3 4.3
Oil 12 12 15 12 4 2 1 1.7 –0.1
Gas 0 1 17 56 0 3 5 30.0 16.5
Nuclear 4 14 32 67 4 5 6 8.8 6.5
Hydro 4 6 6 8 2 1 1 1.4 1.3
Biomass and waste 1 1 2 11 0 0 1 4.8 9.0
Other renewables 0 0 3 7 0 0 1 35.9 17.8
Other energy sector 72 120 162 205 100 100 100 3.0 2.2
Total final consumption 402 643 972 1 297 100 100 100 4.2 2.8
Coal 151 240 323 275 37 33 21 3.0 0.5
Oil 93 170 272 427 26 28 33 4.8 3.8
Gas 5 13 37 73 2 4 6 10.9 7.1
Electricity 59 113 229 402 18 24 31 7.4 5.2
Heat 21 34 55 69 5 6 5 4.9 2.9
Biomass and waste 73 73 56 51 11 6 4 –2.5 –1.4
Other renewables 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 n.a. n.a.
Electricity (TWh) Shares (%) Growth (% p.a.)
2000 2005 2015 2030 2005 2015 2030 2005- 2005-
2015 2030
Total generation 688 1 233 2 684 4 769 100 100 100 8.1 5.6
Coal 575 1 054 2 332 4 016 85 87 84 8.3 5.5
Oil 44 52 52 43 4 2 1 0.0 -0.7
Gas 1 4 67 249 0 2 5 31.6 17.6
Nuclear 17 53 123 256 4 5 5 8.8 6.5
Hydro 51 65 75 90 5 3 2 1.4 1.3
Biomass and waste 1 3 6 33 0 0 1 5.6 9.7
Wind 0 1 29 69 0 1 1 36.7 17.3
Geothermal 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 36.1 18.2
Solar 0 0 0 12 0 0 0 -0.4 22.1
Tide and wave 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 n.a. n.a.
420 World Energy Outlook 2007 - CHINA’S ENERGY PROSPECTS