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World Energy Outlook 2007

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Box 9.5: Household Use of Biomass and Coal<br />

The proportion of the population using coal and biomass (everything from<br />

firewood to manure) for cooking is one of the indicators used to assess progress<br />

towards the Millennium Development Goals. The <strong>World</strong> Health Organization<br />

(WHO) estimates this share at 80% in China (WHO, <strong>2007</strong>). For biomass<br />

alone, we estimate the figure to be 37%, or 483 million people. Most of them<br />

– an estimated 428 million – live in rural areas. We project the total number of<br />

people relying on biomass for cooking to fall to 390 million in 2030.<br />

The use of these fuels in conjunction with inefficient stoves causes indoor air<br />

pollution and, in the case of biomass, can have consequences such as local<br />

deforestation and soil erosion. The WHO estimates that some 380 000 people<br />

in China die prematurely every year because of indoor air pollution from the<br />

combustion of solid fuels (WHO, <strong>2007</strong>). This is a considerably greater number<br />

of deaths than the corresponding figures for deaths from outdoor air pollution<br />

(around 270 000) or from lack of clean water (95 000). These considerations<br />

led to the establishment of the Chinese National Improved Stoves Programme<br />

(NISP) in the 1980s to disseminate household stoves with chimneys. The NISP<br />

was implemented in a decentralised way in order to diminish bureaucratic<br />

hurdles and speed up payments. Provincial and county stove programmes<br />

provided for marketing, subsidised training, a subsidy to households and a<br />

range of other measures. Centralised production of critical stove components<br />

ensured quality control, while local modification of designs ensured that the<br />

stoves would meet user needs. China’s Ministry of Agriculture estimates that by<br />

1998, 185 million out of 236 million rural households had improved biomass<br />

or coal stoves (Sinton et al., 2004). The programme was one of the most<br />

successful energy-efficiency programmes in China and perhaps the world’s most<br />

successful household energy initiative. Financial and institutional support has<br />

now tapered off (except for certain programmes targeted on impoverished areas)<br />

but the NISP left a positive legacy of private infrastructure for producing and<br />

marketing improved stoves.<br />

China’s stove industry sells more than 10 million improved stoves per year, is<br />

worth about $30 million to the economy and is growing at a rate of 10% per<br />

year. From the 1990s onwards, however, there was significant switching away<br />

from biomass to coal. As a result, 90% of manufacturers’ revenue comes from<br />

coal stoves rather than biomass stoves (Spautz et al., 2006). While both biomass<br />

and coal can give rise to respiratory illness, coal can also contain large quantities<br />

of arsenic, lead, mercury, other poisonous metals and fluorine. Exposure to<br />

indoor air pollution from coal fires is associated with a two-fold increased risk of<br />

lung cancer among women (WHO, 2006). Further improvements in indoor air<br />

quality will require both greater take-up of efficient cooking equipment and<br />

better ventilation, as well as faster switching to electricity (via grid connection,<br />

but also solar panels and micro-hydropower), piped gas, biogas, modern biomass<br />

fuels, such as ethanol gel, and alternative fossil fuels, such as LPG and DME.<br />

312 <strong>World</strong> <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Outlook</strong> <strong>2007</strong> - CHINA’S ENERGY PROSPECTS

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