World Energy Outlook 2007

Reference Scenario: OECD Pacific
Energy demand (Mtoe) Shares (%) Growth (% p.a.)
1990 2005 2015 2030 2005 2015 2030 2005- 2005-
2015 2030
Total primary energy demand 639 882 1 016 1 099 100 100 100 1.4 0.9
Coal 138 218 248 246 25 24 22 1.3 0.5
Oil 338 390 400 389 44 39 35 0.2 –0.0
Gas 69 126 168 199 14 17 18 2.9 1.8
Nuclear 66 118 151 191 13 15 17 2.6 2.0
Hydro 11 10 13 13 1 1 1 1.9 1.0
Biomass and waste 10 15 25 38 2 2 3 5.6 4.0
Other renewables 5 6 11 23 1 1 2 6.8 5.6
Power generation 239 382 466 524 100 100 100 2.0 1.3
Coal 61 147 170 168 38 36 32 1.5 0.6
Oil 54 32 25 14 8 5 3 –2.4 –3.3
Gas 40 65 90 108 17 19 21 3.3 2.1
Nuclear 66 118 151 191 31 33 37 2.6 2.0
Hydro 11 10 13 13 3 3 3 1.9 1.0
Biomass and waste 3 6 9 14 1 2 3 4.4 3.6
Other renewables 3 5 9 15 1 2 3 6.4 4.9
Other energy sector 60 72 80 83 100 100 100 1.0 0.6
Total final consumption 437 586 665 714 100 100 100 1.3 0.8
Coal 48 38 38 38 6 6 5 0.0 –0.0
Oil 268 339 357 358 58 54 50 0.5 0.2
of which transport 116 158 172 174 27 26 24 0.9 0.4
Gas 25 57 74 85 10 11 12 2.6 1.6
Electricity 86 136 170 194 23 26 27 2.2 1.4
Heat 0 5 6 7 1 1 1 2.0 1.4
Biomass and waste 7 9 16 25 2 2 3 6.3 4.2
of which biofuels 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 44.7 19.2
Other renewables 2 1 3 7 0 0 1 8.8 7.8
Electricity (TWh) Shares (%) Growth (% p.a.)
Total generation 1 129 1 779 2 186 2 482 100 100 100 2.1 1.3
Coal 254 665 801 828 37 37 33 1.9 0.9
Oil 273 174 138 73 10 6 3 –2.3 –3.4
Gas 198 332 453 559 19 21 23 3.1 2.1
Nuclear 255 454 581 734 26 27 30 2.5 1.9
Hydro 133 121 146 154 7 7 6 1.9 1.0
Biomass and waste 12 23 33 47 1 1 2 3.8 3.0
Wind 0 3 19 52 0 1 2 18.9 11.6
Geothermal 4 6 9 13 0 0 1 4.0 3.1
Solar 0 0 6 20 0 0 1 46.8 22.2
Tide and wave 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 n.a. n.a.
CO 2
emissions (Mt) Shares (%) Growth (% p.a.)
Total CO 2
emissions 1 563 2 064 2 311 2 323 100 100 100 1.1 0.5
Coal 519 823 944 933 40 41 40 1.4 0.5
Oil 887 946 983 945 46 43 41 0.4 –0.0
Gas 157 294 384 445 14 17 19 2.7 1.7
Power generation 544 884 1 030 1 029 100 100 100 1.5 0.6
Coal 281 627 739 730 71 72 71 1.7 0.6
Oil 169 103 80 44 12 8 4 –2.5 –3.3
Gas 94 154 211 254 17 20 25 3.2 2.0
Total final consumption 952 1 106 1 205 1 227 100 100 100 0.9 0.4
Coal 217 179 183 181 16 15 15 0.2 0.1
Oil 678 795 853 852 72 71 69 0.7 0.3
Gas 57 132 170 194 12 14 16 2.5 1.6
610
World Energy Outlook 2007- ANNEXES