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World Energy Outlook 2007

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Figure 13.3: Provincial <strong>Energy</strong> Intensity Targets, 2005-2010<br />

Xinjiang -20%<br />

Tibet -12%<br />

Coastal total = -19.6%<br />

Inland total = -20.9%<br />

National = -20%<br />

Gansu -20%<br />

Qinghai -17%<br />

Inner Mongolia -25%<br />

Sichuan<br />

-20%<br />

Yunnan<br />

-17%<br />

Ningxia<br />

-20%<br />

Shaanxi<br />

-20%<br />

Chongqing<br />

-20%<br />

Guizhou<br />

-20%<br />

Liaoning<br />

Beijing -20%<br />

-20%<br />

Hebei Tianjin -20%<br />

-20%<br />

Shanxi Shandong<br />

-25% -22%<br />

Guangxi<br />

-15%<br />

Henan<br />

-20%<br />

Hubei<br />

-20%<br />

Hunan<br />

-20%<br />

Guangdong<br />

-16%<br />

Jiangsu<br />

-20%<br />

Anhui<br />

-20%<br />

Jiangxi<br />

-20%<br />

Fujian<br />

-16%<br />

Heilongjiang<br />

-20%<br />

Jilin -30%<br />

Zhejiang<br />

-20%<br />

Shanghai -20%<br />

Taiwan<br />

Hainan -12%<br />

The boundaries and names shown and the designations used on maps included in this publication do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the IEA.<br />

Source: State Council (2006).<br />

exceed its target, because of the relocation of a major steel company to Hebei<br />

province (coastal) and a major coking and chemical plant to Shanxi province<br />

(inland). But these changes make it more difficult for Hebei and Shanxi to<br />

meet their targets. In the Reference Scenario, the average energy intensity of<br />

the coastal region continues to decline rapidly, by 2.8% per year over 2005-<br />

2030. In the Reference Scenario, energy intensity declines by 15% between<br />

2005 and 2010. Preliminary energy intensity data for 2006 show that while<br />

intensity has declined overall, most areas have further to go before meeting<br />

their targets. In only two provinces – Beijing and Fujian – did the actual<br />

decline in intensity in that year meet or exceed the targeted rate of decline<br />

(Figure 13.4). The coastal region is the key driver for economic growth in<br />

China and will lead the rest of the country from an investment-driven<br />

economy to a consumption-driven one. Investments in energy efficiency on<br />

410 <strong>World</strong> <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Outlook</strong> <strong>2007</strong> - CHINA’S ENERGY PROSPECTS

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