World Energy Outlook 2007

Other Sectors
The services sector accounted for only 3% of total final energy consumption in
2005, well below its share of economic output. Energy demand for services
increased at an average annual rate of 1.7% from 1990 to 2005. It is projected
to increase over the Outlook period by 3.8% per year. As a result, this sector’s
share of total final energy consumption will rise to 4%. Biomass meets about
half of the sector’s energy needs today, mostly in community centres, schools
and hospitals, but by 2030 electricity will account for 67% of the total,
growing by 7.9% per year. Most of this electricity will be used in hotels,
commercial establishments, residential complexes and shopping malls. The
expected growth in demand for personal computers will also drive up energy
consumption in this sector over the projection period. The number of
computers per 100 people in India is very low – 1.2 in 2004 compared with
4.1 in China, 4.5 in Philippines and 19.2 in Malaysia (Figure 16.10). Dieselgenerated
power is generally more expensive than grid-based supply, even
though state electricity boards’ tariffs to business carry a disproportionate share
of system costs. Despite this, diesel generators are widely used by businesses to
cope with India’s chronic power shortages. Computer services companies are
normally obliged to maintain their own generators.
Energy use in agriculture represents 4% of final energy demand. Consumption
grew rapidly from 1990 to 2005, averaging 6.5% per year. It is projected to
slow to 3.2% per year over the Outlook period. Electricity, used mainly for
irrigation pumps (Box 16.6) will account for most of this growth, and oil,
mainly for tractors and other machinery, for the rest.
20%
Figure 16.10: Prevalence of Personal Computers
16%
12%
16
8%
4%
0%
2000 2004
India Indonesia China Philippines Malaysia
Source: www.unstats.un.org.
Chapter 16 – Reference Scenario Demand Projections 483