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World Energy Outlook 2007

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percentage points over 2001. 3 In 2004, industry’s share was markedly higher<br />

than that of other middle-income, developing and OECD countries<br />

(Figure 7.1). The services sector accounts for 39% and agriculture for 12%.<br />

The Chinese economy has become increasingly integrated into the world<br />

economy, particularly since China’s accession to the <strong>World</strong> Trade Organization<br />

(WTO) in 2001. China’s shares of world trade and foreign direct investment<br />

(FDI) have accelerated within the last five years. China is the world’s thirdlargest<br />

trader, after the United States and Germany, with the sum of imports<br />

and exports reaching $1.8 trillion in 2006. China is the leading destination for<br />

FDI, with inflows amounting to $108 billion (see Figure 3.5 in Chapter 3). Its<br />

share of global steel production doubled to 31% between 2000 and 2005,<br />

while its share of world telecommunications equipment jumped by<br />

14 percentage points to 20% (Table 7.1).<br />

Table 7.1: China’s Importance in the <strong>World</strong> Economy<br />

(% of world total)<br />

1980 1995 2000 2005<br />

GDP (2006 $ PPP) 3.2 9.1 11.3 14.5<br />

GDP (market exchange rates) 2.9 2.5 3.8 5.0<br />

Trade 0.9 2.7 3.6 6.7<br />

Foreign direct investment* 1.0 13.0 7.0 12.0<br />

Ammonia production 17.0 27.0 29.0 30.0<br />

Steel production 8.2 13.0 15.5 31.2<br />

Cement production 9.0 33.6 37.4 46.6<br />

Telecommunications equipment – – 6.7 20.4<br />

*Includes Mainland China and Hong Kong.<br />

Sources: IEA Secretariat calculations based on IMF, CEIC, ADB, IISI, UNCTAD and WTO databases.<br />

The increase in China’s own domestic consumption and investment,<br />

relocation of many manufacturing processes from other parts of the world to<br />

China, and burgeoning exports all underpin the dramatic increase in the<br />

production of energy-intensive goods. China benefits from having cheaper<br />

labour, lower land costs and faster factory construction than most other<br />

countries. China’s sheer market size also gives rise to economies of scale in the<br />

production and distribution of goods. The surge in cement production reflects<br />

a rise in the rate of fixed investment in infrastructure and real estate, which has<br />

3. China’s National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) revised GDP statistics sharply upwards in January<br />

2006, on the basis of the findings of the 2004 Economic Census. It was the first time that a<br />

comprehensive survey of the non-agricultural economy was carried out, raising the estimate of GDP<br />

by 17%. The share of the services sector in GDP was also revised upwards.<br />

246 <strong>World</strong> <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Outlook</strong> <strong>2007</strong> - CHINA’S ENERGY PROSPECTS

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