World Energy Outlook 2007

Alternative Policy Scenario: Developing Asia
Energy demand (Mtoe) Shares (%) Growth (% p.a.) Change vs. RS (%)
2015 2030 2015 2030 2005- 2005- 2015 2030
2015 2030
Total primary energy demand 4 391 5 496 100 100 3.8 2.4 –4.8 –14.5
Coal 2 178 2 411 50 44 4.3 2.1 –8.0 –25.9
Oil 1 023 1 330 23 24 3.5 2.4 –5.7 –16.6
Gas 368 557 8 10 5.5 3.9 –1.0 –4.9
Nuclear 80 186 2 3 10.5 7.6 22.2 56.4
Hydro 111 169 3 3 7.6 4.7 21.8 27.2
Biomass and waste 587 718 13 13 0.5 1.0 –1.0 9.1
Other renewables 45 126 1 2 9.7 8.1 10.0 52.1
Power generation 1 741 2 371 100 100 5.0 3.2 –5.6 –15.3
Coal 1 279 1 497 73 63 4.5 2.4 –10.0 –28.7
Oil 58 46 3 2 0.9 –0.6 –4.2 –5.1
Gas 152 228 9 10 5.4 3.8 –2.7 –12.2
Nuclear 80 186 5 8 10.5 7.6 22.2 56.4
Hydro 111 169 6 7 7.6 4.7 21.8 27.2
Biomass and waste 26 157 1 7 15.2 13.7 56.2 105.8
Other renewables 36 89 2 4 9.1 7.4 5.6 36.4
Other energy sector 557 694 100 100 5.1 2.9 –3.1 –13.8
Total final consumption 2 856 3 499 100 100 3.5 2.2 –4.7 –14.6
Coal 647 593 23 17 3.4 1.0 –6.7 –24.7
Oil 863 1 162 30 33 3.7 2.7 –6.1 –17.7
of which transport 425 664 15 19 4.7 3.7 –6.5 –20.4
Gas 169 270 6 8 6.3 4.4 0.9 2.4
Electricity 551 816 19 23 6.9 4.3 –3.9 –14.7
Heat 70 77 2 2 4.7 2.2 –5.0 –18.2
Biomass and waste 547 544 19 16 0.1 0.0 –2.7 –3.7
of which biofuels 13 43 0 1 38.4 19.4 n.a. 173.6
Other renewables 9 37 0 1 12.3 10.8 31.4 109.9
Electricity (TWh) Shares (%) Growth (% p.a.) Change vs. RS (%)
Total generation 7 876 11 510 100 100 6.6 4.2 –4.3 –14.6
Coal 5 049 6 440 64 56 6.3 3.5 –11.4 –31.2
Oil 232 183 3 2 0.8 –0.6 –4.4 –5.5
Gas 776 1 242 10 11 6.1 4.4 –3.6 –10.7
Nuclear 307 712 4 6 10.5 7.6 22.2 56.4
Hydro 1 287 1 968 16 17 7.6 4.7 21.8 27.2
Biomass and waste 70 407 1 4 15.6 13.7 59.5 99.9
Wind 119 405 2 4 30.7 16.9 17.7 64.4
Geothermal 29 53 0 0 5.8 4.7 – 10.0
Solar 6 98 0 1 51.4 31.8 196.4 n.a.
Tide and wave 0 1 0 0 – 15.6 – n.a.
CO 2
emissions (Mt) Shares (%) Growth (% p.a.) Change vs. RS (%)
Total CO 2
emissions 11 511 13 438 100 100 4.1 2.3 –7.5 –23.1
Coal 8 191 8 921 71 66 4.2 2.0 –8.5 –26.8
Oil 2 546 3 353 22 25 3.6 2.5 –5.7 –16.8
Gas 773 1 164 7 9 5.4 3.8 –1.3 –6.2
Power generation 5 665 6 672 100 100 4.4 2.4 –9.3 –27.1
Coal 5 118 5 983 90 90 4.5 2.4 –10.0 –28.6
Oil 188 148 3 2 1.0 –0.6 –4.1 –5.0
Gas 358 541 6 8 5.5 3.8 –2.4 –11.9
Total final consumption 5 255 6 033 100 100 3.6 2.0 –6.0 –19.7
Coal 2 770 2 552 53 42 3.2 0.9 –6.7 –24.9
Oil 2 165 2 971 41 49 3.9 2.8 –6.0 –17.9
Gas 320 510 6 8 5.8 4.2 0.7 1.6
A
Annex A – Tables for Reference and Alternative Policy Scenario Projections 625