World Energy Outlook 2007

Reference Scenario: Japan
Energy demand (Mtoe) Shares (%) Growth (% p.a.)
1990 2005 2015 2030 2005 2015 2030 2005- 2005-
2015 2030
Total primary energy demand 444 530 589 601 100 100 100 1.1 0.5
Coal 77 112 128 114 21 22 19 1.3 0.1
Oil 251 249 238 211 47 40 35 –0.5 –0.7
Gas 48 72 98 111 14 17 18 3.1 1.7
Nuclear 53 79 98 128 15 17 21 2.1 1.9
Hydro 8 7 8 8 1 1 1 1.6 0.7
Biomass and waste 5 6 13 18 1 2 3 7.5 4.3
Other renewables 3 4 6 11 1 1 2 5.5 4.3
Power generation 172 226 272 297 100 100 100 1.8 1.1
Coal 26 63 73 62 28 27 21 1.5 –0.1
Oil 49 26 20 11 12 7 4 –2.8 –3.5
Gas 33 44 63 73 20 23 25 3.5 2.0
Nuclear 53 79 98 128 35 36 43 2.1 1.9
Hydro 8 7 8 8 3 3 3 1.6 0.7
Biomass and waste 2 4 5 7 2 2 2 3.5 2.3
Other renewables 1 3 5 8 1 2 3 4.9 3.9
Other energy sector 39 47 54 53 100 100 100 1.4 0.5
Total final consumption 304 351 375 373 100 100 100 0.7 0.2
Coal 32 26 25 25 7 7 7 –0.3 –0.2
Oil 190 208 204 187 59 54 50 –0.2 –0.4
of which transport 75 91 90 79 26 24 21 –0.2 –0.6
Gas 14 28 35 36 8 9 10 2.2 1.0
Electricity 65 85 102 111 24 27 30 1.8 1.1
Heat 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 1.7 1.2
Biomass and waste 3 2 7 11 1 2 3 11.9 6.3
of which biofuels 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 n.a. n.a.
Other renewables 1 1 2 3 0 0 1 7.5 5.6
Electricity (TWh) Shares (%) Growth (% p.a.)
Total generation 837 1 104 1 302 1 411 100 100 100 1.7 1.0
Coal 117 309 368 315 28 28 22 1.8 0.1
Oil 250 146 110 59 13 8 4 –2.8 –3.5
Gas 166 231 314 375 21 24 27 3.1 2.0
Nuclear 202 314 376 493 28 29 35 1.8 1.8
Hydro 89 78 92 94 7 7 7 1.6 0.7
Biomass and waste 11 20 27 35 2 2 2 3.4 2.3
Wind 0 2 9 26 0 1 2 17.8 11.3
Geothermal 2 3 4 5 0 0 0 2.4 1.9
Solar 0 0 3 8 0 0 1 109.0 39.6
Tide and wave 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 n.a. n.a.
CO 2
emissions (Mt) Shares (%) Growth (% p.a.)
Total CO 2
emissions 1 057 1 210 1 291 1 182 100 100 100 0.6 –0.1
Coal 292 419 472 417 35 37 35 1.2 –0.0
Oil 653 620 595 522 51 46 44 –0.4 –0.7
Gas 113 171 224 243 14 17 21 2.7 1.4
Power generation 360 469 543 487 100 100 100 1.5 0.2
Coal 129 278 332 281 59 61 58 1.8 0.0
Oil 153 85 63 34 18 12 7 –2.9 –3.6
Gas 78 106 148 172 23 27 35 3.4 2.0
Total final consumption 653 701 711 667 100 100 100 0.1 –0.2
Coal 147 125 122 119 18 17 18 –0.2 –0.2
Oil 472 511 508 465 73 71 70 –0.1 –0.4
Gas 33 65 81 83 9 11 12 2.2 1.0
612
World Energy Outlook 2007- ANNEXES