World Energy Outlook 2007

Reference Scenario: OECD Europe
Energy demand (Mtoe) Shares (%) Growth (% p.a.)
1990 2005 2015 2030 2005 2015 2030 2005- 2005-
2015 2030
Total primary energy demand 1 623 1 874 1 998 2 127 100 100 100 0.6 0.5
Coal 438 320 310 314 17 15 15 –0.3 –0.1
Oil 627 703 711 709 38 36 33 0.1 0.0
Gas 258 453 525 633 24 26 30 1.5 1.3
Nuclear 204 256 236 150 14 12 7 –0.8 –2.1
Hydro 38 42 50 56 2 3 3 1.9 1.2
Biomass and waste 53 85 127 184 5 6 9 4.2 3.1
Other renewables 4 15 38 82 1 2 4 9.8 7.0
Power generation 618 742 809 860 100 100 100 0.9 0.6
Coal 277 234 239 257 32 30 30 0.2 0.4
Oil 48 32 24 12 4 3 1 –2.7 –4.0
Gas 40 137 183 252 18 23 29 2.9 2.5
Nuclear 204 256 236 150 34 29 17 –0.8 –2.1
Hydro 38 42 50 56 6 6 6 1.9 1.2
Biomass and waste 8 30 44 66 4 5 8 4.0 3.3
Other renewables 3 12 33 69 2 4 8 10.4 7.2
Other energy sector 128 148 139 139 100 100 100 –0.6 –0.3
Total final consumption 1 147 1 359 1 467 1 619 100 100 100 0.8 0.7
Coal 122 53 46 38 4 3 2 –1.5 –1.3
Oil 549 631 650 661 46 44 41 0.3 0.2
of which transport 289 374 383 400 28 26 25 0.2 0.3
Gas 204 296 323 362 22 22 22 0.9 0.8
Electricity 190 254 298 360 19 20 22 1.6 1.4
Heat 37 67 61 68 5 4 4 –1.0 0.1
Biomass and waste 44 55 83 118 4 6 7 4.3 3.1
of which biofuels 0 3 18 32 0 1 2 19.1 9.7
Other renewables 1 3 6 13 0 0 1 7.1 6.2
Electricity (TWh) Shares (%) Growth (% p.a.)
Total generation 2 632 3 485 4 029 4 815 100 100 100 1.5 1.3
Coal 1 016 989 1 025 1 237 28 25 26 0.4 0.9
Oil 203 135 117 57 4 3 1 –1.4 –3.4
Gas 167 721 963 1 442 21 24 30 2.9 2.8
Nuclear 782 981 907 574 28 23 12 –0.8 –2.1
Hydro 443 486 587 648 14 15 13 1.9 1.2
Biomass and waste 16 87 144 217 2 4 5 5.2 3.7
Wind 1 79 259 556 2 6 12 12.6 8.1
Geothermal 4 6 10 18 0 0 0 5.4 4.3
Solar 0 2 15 58 0 0 1 24.1 15.0
Tide and wave 1 1 1 9 0 0 0 10.1 12.0
CO 2
emissions (Mt) Shares (%) Growth (% p.a.)
Total CO 2
emissions 3 936 4 047 4 216 4 493 100 100 100 0.4 0.4
Coal 1 701 1 235 1 212 1 247 31 29 28 –0.2 0.0
Oil 1 661 1 775 1 801 1 791 44 43 40 0.1 0.0
Gas 574 1 037 1 202 1 454 26 29 32 1.5 1.4
Power generation 1 375 1 390 1 489 1 685 100 100 100 0.7 0.8
Coal 1 130 968 985 1 061 70 66 63 0.2 0.4
Oil 152 103 78 37 7 5 2 –2.7 –4.0
Gas 93 319 426 587 23 29 35 2.9 2.5
Total final consumption 2 387 2 467 2 545 2 632 100 100 100 0.3 0.3
Coal 532 235 203 168 10 8 6 –1.5 –1.3
Oil 1 396 1 552 1 600 1 631 63 63 62 0.3 0.2
Gas 458 680 742 833 28 29 32 0.9 0.8
614
World Energy Outlook 2007- ANNEXES