World Energy Outlook 2007

Alternative Policy Scenario: Russia
Energy demand (Mtoe) Shares (%) Growth (% p.a.) Change vs. RS (%)
2015 2030 2015 2030 2005- 2005- 2015 2030
2015 2030
Total primary energy demand 729 789 100 100 1.2 0.8 –4.8 –9.4
Coal 121 118 17 15 1.6 0.5 –3.2 –10.0
Oil 141 147 19 19 0.6 0.4 –7.4 –11.8
Gas 394 411 54 52 1.3 0.7 –5.3 –13.1
Nuclear 46 77 6 10 1.6 2.8 – 13.5
Hydro 16 19 2 2 0.9 0.9 0.8 7.5
Biomass and waste 7 6 1 1 –0.3 –0.3 0.5 –0.0
Other renewables 4 11 1 1 26.6 14.5 2.6 24.3
Power generation 385 407 100 100 0.9 0.6 –4.6 –9.6
Coal 91 87 24 21 1.7 0.5 –2.5 –10.1
Oil 15 12 4 3 –0.7 –1.4 –0.7 –0.6
Gas 210 200 54 49 0.4 –0.1 –7.2 –18.5
Nuclear 46 77 12 19 1.6 2.8 – 13.5
Hydro 16 19 4 5 0.9 0.9 0.8 7.5
Biomass and waste 3 3 1 1 –1.5 –1.6 – –
Other renewables 4 10 1 2 26.2 14.2 0.3 15.8
Other energy sector 99 105 100 100 0.7 0.5 –8.8 –14.2
Total final consumption 477 516 100 100 1.3 0.8 –4.3 –8.8
Coal 19 18 4 3 0.4 –0.0 –4.5 –9.6
Oil 102 109 21 21 0.7 0.5 –8.7 –13.2
of which transport 59 63 12 12 0.9 0.6 –10.0 –14.7
Gas 160 184 33 36 2.3 1.5 –3.2 –7.4
Electricity 65 76 14 15 1.6 1.3 –4.0 –8.4
Heat 128 125 27 24 0.7 0.1 –2.4 –7.5
Biomass and waste 3 3 1 1 1.4 1.1 1.2 –0.1
of which biofuels 0 0 0 0 n.a. n.a. 75.6 62.9
Other renewables 0 1 0 0 n.a. n.a. 176.6 n.a.
Electricity (TWh) Shares (%) Growth (% p.a.) Change vs. RS (%)
Total generation 1 088 1 283 100 100 1.4 1.2 –3.4 –5.1
Coal 212 223 19 17 2.5 1.2 –6.4 –23.9
Oil 18 13 2 1 –1.3 –1.9 –4.3 –3.7
Gas 482 484 44 38 1.0 0.4 –5.1 –12.1
Nuclear 176 297 16 23 1.6 2.8 – 13.5
Hydro 189 215 17 17 0.9 0.9 0.8 7.5
Biomass and waste 4 15 0 1 3.9 7.3 113.5 17.0
Wind 4 28 0 2 89.0 39.3 3.0 122.9
Geothermal 4 9 0 1 51.9 22.1 – –
Solar 0 0 0 0 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a.
Tide and wave 0 0 0 0 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a.
CO 2
emissions (Mt) Shares (%) Growth (% p.a.) Change vs. RS (%)
Total CO 2
emissions 1 712 1 735 100 100 1.1 0.5 –5.0 –12.1
Coal 492 473 29 27 1.4 0.4 –3.0 –9.8
Oil 341 349 20 20 0.8 0.4 –6.9 –11.5
Gas 878 912 51 53 1.2 0.6 –5.4 –13.4
Power generation 926 875 100 100 0.8 0.1 –4.9 –14.4
Coal 386 370 42 42 1.7 0.5 –2.5 –10.1
Oil 49 38 5 4 –1.2 –1.5 –0.7 –0.6
Gas 491 467 53 53 0.3 –0.1 –7.2 –18.5
Total final consumption 706 772 100 100 1.5 1.0 –5.1 –9.6
Coal 103 101 15 13 0.3 0.0 –4.6 –9.0
Oil 246 261 35 34 0.9 0.6 –8.2 –13.1
Gas 356 410 50 53 2.3 1.5 –3.1 –7.3
A
Annex A – Tables for Reference and Alternative Policy Scenario Projections 621