World Energy Outlook 2007

Alternative Policy Scenario: OECD
Energy demand (Mtoe) Shares (%) Growth (% p.a.) Change vs. RS (%)
2015 2030 2015 2030 2005- 2005- 2015 2030
2015 2030
Total primary energy demand 6 015 6 289 100 100 0.8 0.5 –2.7 –7.5
Coal 1 097 944 18 15 –0.3 –0.7 –10.5 –28.4
Oil 2 302 2 242 38 36 0.2 –0.0 –3.5 –9.5
Gas 1 390 1 481 23 24 1.4 0.8 –2.5 –10.5
Nuclear 672 751 11 12 1.0 0.8 4.8 21.8
Hydro 123 135 2 2 1.2 0.8 1.7 3.9
Biomass and waste 326 482 5 8 5.3 3.7 12.2 16.1
Other renewables 104 255 2 4 10.3 7.8 14.8 36.0
Power generation 2 459 2 568 100 100 1.0 0.6 –3.1 –8.7
Coal 898 741 37 29 –0.2 –0.9 –12.0 –32.4
Oil 98 58 4 2 –1.8 –2.8 –3.5 –10.6
Gas 470 510 19 20 2.1 1.2 –2.5 –14.8
Nuclear 672 751 27 29 1.0 0.8 4.8 21.8
Hydro 123 135 5 5 1.2 0.8 1.7 3.9
Biomass and waste 115 181 5 7 6.7 4.5 22.8 17.0
Other renewables 83 193 3 8 9.8 7.4 7.3 25.5
Other energy sector 445 491 100 100 0.1 0.4 –2.2 –6.8
Total final consumption 4 213 4 447 100 100 0.9 0.6 –2.6 –7.5
Coal 114 98 3 2 –1.0 –1.0 –3.0 –7.9
Oil 2 089 2 073 50 47 0.4 0.1 –3.6 –9.9
of which transport 1 310 1 317 31 30 0.4 0.2 –4.4 –11.8
Gas 818 845 19 19 1.0 0.5 –2.5 –8.4
Electricity 888 987 21 22 1.4 1.0 –3.2 –10.5
Heat 72 81 2 2 –0.6 0.2 –1.0 –2.0
Biomass and waste 211 301 5 7 4.6 3.3 7.2 15.7
of which biofuels 52 89 1 2 16.3 8.6 27.6 43.8
Other renewables 21 62 0 1 12.8 9.6 59.8 84.1
Electricity (TWh) Shares (%) Growth (% p.a.) Change vs. RS (%)
Total generation 11 834 13 117 100 100 1.3 0.9 –3.2 –10.1
Coal 3 976 3 561 34 27 0.1 –0.4 –12.7 –34.0
Oil 449 261 4 2 –1.8 –2.9 –4.0 –11.5
Gas 2 451 2 729 21 21 2.3 1.3 –2.6 –18.9
Nuclear 2 579 2 881 22 22 0.9 0.8 4.8 21.8
Hydro 1 436 1 569 12 12 1.2 0.8 1.7 3.9
Biomass and waste 371 565 3 4 6.8 4.4 22.2 14.7
Wind 474 1 237 4 9 16.7 10.5 13.0 29.1
Geothermal 60 102 1 1 6.1 4.6 2.0 9.5
Solar 37 190 0 1 30.4 18.8 8.7 69.3
Tide and wave 2 23 0 0 12.5 16.1 24.3 104.7
CO 2
emissions (Mt) Shares (%) Growth (% p.a.) Change vs. RS (%)
Total CO 2
emissions 13 235 12 540 100 100 0.3 –0.1 –5.8 –16.8
Coal 4 213 3 508 32 28 –0.3 –0.8 –11.0 –29.9
Oil 5 828 5 640 44 45 0.2 –0.0 –3.6 –10.0
Gas 3 194 3 392 24 27 1.3 0.8 –2.5 –10.6
Power generation 5 046 4 364 100 100 0.1 –0.5 –9.7 –27.8
Coal 3 633 2 986 72 68 –0.2 –0.9 –12.1 –32.7
Oil 315 185 6 4 –1.9 –2.8 –3.5 –10.6
Gas 1 098 1 193 22 27 2.1 1.2 –2.5 –14.8
Total final consumption 7 552 7 491 100 100 0.5 0.1 –3.4 –9.8
Coal 517 443 7 6 –0.8 –0.9 –3.0 –7.9
Oil 5 154 5 105 68 68 0.4 0.1 –3.8 –10.5
Gas 1 881 1 943 25 26 1.0 0.5 –2.5 –8.4
A
Annex A – Tables for Reference and Alternative Policy Scenario Projections 605