World Energy Outlook 2007

Reference Scenario: OECD North America
Energy demand (Mtoe) Shares (%) Growth (% p.a.)
1990 2005 2015 2030 2005 2015 2030 2005- 2005-
2015 2030
Total primary energy demand 2 257 2 786 3 166 3 573 100 100 100 1.3 1.0
Coal 486 592 668 758 21 21 21 1.2 1.0
Oil 928 1 153 1 274 1 381 41 40 39 1.0 0.7
Gas 517 632 733 822 23 23 23 1.5 1.1
Nuclear 179 238 254 275 9 8 8 0.6 0.6
Hydro 51 57 58 61 2 2 2 0.2 0.3
Biomass and waste 78 95 138 193 3 4 5 3.8 2.9
Other renewables 19 18 41 83 1 1 2 8.5 6.3
Power generation 845 1 107 1 263 1 430 100 100 100 1.3 1.0
Coal 413 537 612 672 48 48 47 1.3 0.9
Oil 47 54 52 39 5 4 3 –0.3 –1.3
Gas 95 181 209 239 16 17 17 1.5 1.1
Nuclear 179 238 254 275 22 20 19 0.6 0.6
Hydro 51 57 58 61 5 5 4 0.2 0.3
Biomass and waste 41 25 41 75 2 3 5 5.1 4.5
Other renewables 19 16 36 69 1 3 5 8.6 6.1
Other energy sector 191 222 237 305 100 100 100 0.6 1.3
Total final consumption 1 552 1 905 2 192 2 476 100 100 100 1.4 1.1
Coal 59 35 34 30 2 2 1 –0.4 –0.6
Oil 822 1 029 1 160 1 283 54 53 52 1.2 0.9
of which transport 556 723 815 918 38 37 37 1.2 1.0
Gas 360 386 442 476 20 20 19 1.4 0.8
Electricity 271 379 449 549 20 21 22 1.7 1.5
Heat 3 4 6 7 0 0 0 3.3 2.1
Biomass and waste 37 70 97 118 4 4 5 3.3 2.1
of which biofuels 0 8 22 29 0 1 1 10.3 5.2
Other renewables 0 2 5 13 0 0 1 7.7 7.5
Electricity (TWh) Shares (%) Growth (% p.a.)
Total generation 3 809 5 127 6 013 7 300 100 100 100 1.6 1.4
Coal 1 790 2 293 2 726 3 333 45 45 46 1.7 1.5
Oil 217 229 213 164 4 4 2 –0.8 –1.3
Gas 406 904 1 102 1 363 18 18 19 2.0 1.7
Nuclear 687 914 973 1 057 18 16 14 0.6 0.6
Hydro 593 664 679 708 13 11 10 0.2 0.3
Biomass and waste 90 83 128 228 2 2 3 4.4 4.1
Wind 3 19 142 350 0 2 5 22.0 12.3
Geothermal 21 21 39 62 0 1 1 6.6 4.5
Solar 1 1 12 34 0 0 0 33.6 17.0
Tide and wave 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 9.5 17.8
CO 2
emissions (Mt) Shares (%) Growth (% p.a.)
Total CO 2
emissions 5 554 6 727 7 527 8 250 100 100 100 1.1 0.8
Coal 1 882 2 276 2 577 2 827 34 34 34 1.2 0.9
Oil 2 485 2 980 3 261 3 530 44 43 43 0.9 0.7
Gas 1 187 1 471 1 690 1 894 22 22 23 1.4 1.0
Power generation 1 991 2 713 3 069 3 331 100 100 100 1.2 0.8
Coal 1 618 2 115 2 411 2 646 78 79 79 1.3 0.9
Oil 151 176 168 126 6 5 4 –0.4 –1.3
Gas 222 422 490 558 16 16 17 1.5 1.1
Total final consumption 3 211 3 645 4 069 4 450 100 100 100 1.1 0.8
Coal 262 148 148 132 4 4 3 –0.0 –0.4
Oil 2 122 2 607 2 904 3 222 72 71 72 1.1 0.9
Gas 827 890 1 018 1 095 24 25 25 1.4 0.8
606
World Energy Outlook 2007- ANNEXES