World Energy Outlook 2007

Alternative Policy Scenario: China
Energy demand Shares (%) Growth (% p.a.) Change vs. RS (%)
(Mtoe)
2015 2030 2015 2030 2005- 2005- 2015 2030
2015 2030
Total primary energy demand 2 743 3 256 100 100 4.6 2.5 –3.8 –14.7
Coal 1 743 1 842 64 57 4.8 2.1 –6.7 –23.2
Oil 518 653 19 20 4.7 2.8 –4.5 –19.2
Gas 126 225 5 7 11.5 6.9 15.0 12.6
Nuclear 44 120 2 4 12.2 9.0 36.0 79.4
Hydro 75 109 3 3 8.2 4.8 21.4 26.4
Biomass and waste 223 255 8 8 –0.2 0.5 –0.7 12.4
Other renewables 14 52 1 2 16.6 11.9 21.2 57.4
Power generation 1 181 1 543 100 100 5.7 3.3 –3.3 –13.0
Coal 985 1 107 83 72 5.0 2.4 –8.2 –25.5
Oil 18 15 2 1 –0.1 –0.8 –0.6 –0.9
Gas 40 87 3 6 19.5 10.8 62.1 36.0
Nuclear 44 120 4 8 12.2 9.0 36.0 79.4
Hydro 75 109 6 7 8.2 4.8 21.4 26.4
Biomass and waste 13 77 1 5 14.4 13.4 101.7 101.8
Other renewables 7 28 1 2 39.0 20.8 20.0 65.1
Other energy sector 371 463 100 100 6.2 3.3 –1.2 –9.6
of which electricity 82 101 22 22 6.6 3.4 –2.9 –14.6
Total final consumption 1 730 1 966 100 100 4.4 2.2 –4.3 –17.2
Coal 535 450 31 23 3.7 0.8 –6.7 –25.5
Oil 456 584 26 30 5.1 3.0 –4.9 –20.6
Gas 81 132 5 7 9.5 5.8 2.3 3.8
Electricity 371 522 21 27 7.8 4.5 –2.0 –14.5
Heat 69 76 4 4 4.7 2.3 –5.0 –18.4
Biomass and waste 210 179 12 9 –0.6 –0.9 –3.6 –5.5
Other renewables 8 23 0 1 10.3 8.8 22.3 48.8
Industry 807 859 100 100 5.4 2.4 –3.2 –17.9
Coal 414 352 51 41 4.0 0.9 –6.5 –25.6
Oil 50 48 6 6 2.6 0.8 –4.3 –16.4
Gas 29 39 4 5 8.8 4.7 –4.5 –18.5
Electricity 261 339 32 39 8.4 4.4 –0.7 –14.2
Heat 43 43 5 5 4.0 1.6 –1.5 –15.4
Biomass and waste 10 38 1 4 27.0 16.0 n.a. 69.8
Other renewables 0 1 0 0 13.6 13.3 n.a n.a
Transport 232 367 100 100 6.7 4.5 –3.1 –20.2
Oil 220 337 95 92 6.7 4.4 –4.8 –23.7
Biofuels 5 19 2 5 25.4 15.7 n.a 144.5
Other fuels 8 10 3 3 2.7 2.3 3.7 9.6
Residential, services
and agriculture 504 545 100 100 1.8 1.0 –6.5 –15.0
Coal 65 45 13 8 0.2 –1.4 –7.5 –29.0
Oil 91 108 18 20 4.0 2.3 –4.4 –12.1
Gas 33 68 7 12 10.2 6.9 4.9 15.5
Electricity 88 149 17 27 6.9 4.9 –6.3 –18.1
Heat 24 31 5 6 6.3 3.5 –10.9 –22.8
Biomass and waste 196 122 39 22 –1.3 –2.4 –9.2 –23.4
Other renewables 8 23 1 4 10.3 8.7 21.1 44.5
Non–energy use 187 195 100 100 5.6 2.4 –4.5 –14.5
598
World Energy Outlook 2007- ANNEXES