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INTERDISCIPLINARY JOURNAL OF CONTEMPORARY RESEARCH IN BUSINESS<br />

Does market size affect FDI? The Case <strong>of</strong> Pakistan<br />

Muhammad Muazzam Mughal<br />

Assistant Pr<strong>of</strong>essor, Hailey College <strong>of</strong> Commerce<br />

University <strong>of</strong> the Punjab, Lahore<br />

Muhammad Akram (Correspond<strong>in</strong>g Author)<br />

Lecturer, Hailey College <strong>of</strong> Commerce<br />

University <strong>of</strong> the Punjab, Lahore<br />

Abstract<br />

Market size normally rema<strong>in</strong>s a vital determ<strong>in</strong>ant for FDI <strong>in</strong>flows and it is endors<strong>in</strong>g the<br />

emergence <strong>of</strong> regionalization. The aim <strong>of</strong> this study is to <strong>in</strong>vestigate the impact <strong>of</strong> market<br />

size along with exchange rate and corporate tax rate on FDI <strong>in</strong>flows <strong>in</strong> a low <strong>in</strong>come<br />

country like Pakistan. ARDL approach to co<strong>in</strong>tegration and an error correction model<br />

based on ARDL is used to estimate relationships among variables. Time series data from<br />

1984 to 2008 is used <strong>in</strong> this study. This study observes market size as the most important<br />

factor that affects FDI <strong>in</strong>flows. This work provides a better understand<strong>in</strong>g about the role<br />

<strong>of</strong> market size <strong>in</strong> attract<strong>in</strong>g FDI <strong>in</strong>flows to a develop<strong>in</strong>g country. On the other hand, it<br />

highlights the importance <strong>of</strong> regionalization for the purpose <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>creased market size for<br />

avail<strong>in</strong>g higher FDI <strong>in</strong>flows along with other supplementary benefits.<br />

Key words: Market size, Corporate tax rate, ARDL, FDI, Pakistan.<br />

1. Introduction<br />

Foreign direct <strong>in</strong>vestment (FDI) is deemed as a bless<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> develop<strong>in</strong>g countries as it<br />

results <strong>in</strong> enhancement <strong>of</strong> exchange reserves, <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> productivity, <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong><br />

employment level, rise <strong>in</strong> exports and <strong>in</strong>deed, <strong>in</strong>creased pace <strong>of</strong> transfer <strong>of</strong> technology.<br />

The contribution <strong>of</strong> FDI as key participant <strong>in</strong> economic growth <strong>in</strong> develop<strong>in</strong>g countries<br />

has been widely acknowledged. In develop<strong>in</strong>g countries, it is regarded as most important<br />

source <strong>of</strong> external resources and make significant addition <strong>in</strong> capital formation even the<br />

share <strong>of</strong> develop<strong>in</strong>g countries <strong>in</strong> world distribution <strong>of</strong> FDI rema<strong>in</strong> small or sometimes<br />

decl<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g (Kumar,1997 and Pardhan, 2001) The traditional benefits <strong>of</strong> FDI are also<br />

important <strong>in</strong> uplift<strong>in</strong>g the economic growth pace <strong>of</strong> a develop<strong>in</strong>g country like usage <strong>of</strong><br />

local raw material, <strong>in</strong>troduction <strong>of</strong> new techniques <strong>of</strong> management and market<strong>in</strong>g,<br />

<strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> quality <strong>of</strong> labour through on job tra<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g facilities and no generation <strong>of</strong><br />

repayment <strong>of</strong> pr<strong>in</strong>cipal and <strong>in</strong>terests (as opposed to external debt) (Bhagwati, 1994).<br />

There are a lot <strong>of</strong> determ<strong>in</strong>ants <strong>of</strong> FDI like labour cost, real <strong>in</strong>terest rate, openness,<br />

corporate tax rate, real exchange rate and <strong>in</strong>frastructure. Besides these traditional factors,<br />

market size has ga<strong>in</strong>ed relative vital place <strong>in</strong> literature on FDI for develop<strong>in</strong>g and<br />

emerg<strong>in</strong>g economies.<br />

Few among <strong>of</strong> a lot, who acknowledged the role <strong>of</strong> market size <strong>in</strong> attract<strong>in</strong>g FDI <strong>in</strong>flows<br />

are Bander & White (1968), Schmitz & Bier (1972), Wheeler & Mody (1992), Pistoresi<br />

(2000). And among recent literature, Asiedu (2006), Mlambo (2006) and Zhang (2008)<br />

explored the pivotal importance <strong>of</strong> market size <strong>in</strong> attract<strong>in</strong>g FDI <strong>in</strong>flows. These authors<br />

COPY RIGHT © 2011 Institute <strong>of</strong> <strong>Interdiscipl<strong>in</strong>ary</strong> Bus<strong>in</strong>ess <strong>Research</strong> 237<br />

JANUARY 2011<br />

VOL 2, NO 9<br />

Listed <strong>in</strong> ULRICH’S

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