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Department of Energy FY 2012 Congressional ... - The FIRE Place

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including securing dangerous nuclear materials world-wide. Science and engineering advances are the<br />

foundation for achieving these goals. NNSA programs have, since 1992, assured confidence in the U.S.<br />

nuclear deterrent without nuclear testing and provided high confidence assessments <strong>of</strong> the capabilities <strong>of</strong><br />

potential adversaries to guard against technological surprise. NNSA-developed technologies support<br />

treaty monitoring and verification, as well as, broader homeland security detection needs.<br />

<strong>The</strong> science and engineering basis for assessing and certifying nuclear devices has systematic gaps that<br />

are being closed by application <strong>of</strong> advanced computing, materials research, and foreseeable advances in<br />

high energy density physics including fusion ignition. A Predictive Capability Framework identifies<br />

specific advances and expected time scales for resolution <strong>of</strong> questions regarding all aspects <strong>of</strong> the<br />

performance <strong>of</strong> nuclear weapons.<br />

<strong>The</strong> ST&E activities within the nuclear security enterprise utilize this framework and fund the detailed<br />

activities necessary to provide the experimental data, models and simulation capability, and certification<br />

methodologies to be used in concert with historical nuclear test data to gain adequate confidence in the<br />

reliability, safety and security <strong>of</strong> our warheads without nuclear tests. <strong>The</strong>se capabilities are also applied<br />

to assess and counter increasingly more advanced threats from adversaries and the possibility <strong>of</strong> attack<br />

or sabotage on nuclear facilities and processes. <strong>The</strong> same capabilities for assessing our stockpile and<br />

detecting nuclear materials are central to assessing foreign or improvised nuclear devices so that threats<br />

can be avoided, disabled or attributed. This field <strong>of</strong> nuclear forensics and counterterrorism is<br />

increasingly enabled by NNSA’s science and engineering advances.<br />

<strong>The</strong> applications <strong>of</strong> ST&E funded capabilities not only advance NNSA’s nuclear program, but are<br />

increasingly used to support related national security and economic goals. <strong>The</strong> technical approaches for<br />

nuclear analysis and security issues developed in NNSA are useful to other national security, scientific,<br />

and economic programs. For example, stockpile analysis and assessment by the NNSA has driven<br />

advances in computing power that have enabled U.S. leadership and demonstrated progress on complex<br />

applied technical problems.<br />

Computational powers, and the techniques for its application, have broad value that can also be applied<br />

to analysis <strong>of</strong> a wide range <strong>of</strong> national energy issues. For example, the approach taken for quantifying<br />

margins and uncertainty for establishing confidence bounds for systems that are not amenable to<br />

statistical testing methods is applicable in many engineering analyses and complex problems. Fusion<br />

ignition, under development for investigations <strong>of</strong> nuclear explosion physics, has potential for nuclear<br />

energy applications being analyzed within the Offices <strong>of</strong> Science and Nuclear <strong>Energy</strong>. Other parts <strong>of</strong><br />

the DOE and other agencies require access to the NNSA’s capabilities.<br />

A final example <strong>of</strong> NNSA’s nuclear program ST&E funded capabilities supporting related national<br />

security and economic goals is in materials under extreme environments. This area is an ongoing NNSA<br />

competence with a focus on developing new techniques, diagnostic methods, and data on materials<br />

behavior under extremes <strong>of</strong> temperature, pressure and strain rates. A particular new focus is on<br />

characterizing materials behavior under both static and dynamic conditions using advanced light sources<br />

and stockpile stewardship tools such as NIF, LANSCE, and Z, as well as the computational materials<br />

science enabled by the Advanced Simulation Computing platforms.<br />

To enhance the application <strong>of</strong> NNSA’s capabilities to broad national security and economic goals,<br />

NNSA is engaging with the other parts <strong>of</strong> DOE and other agencies in developing a strategy to make<br />

Weapons Activities Overview <strong>FY</strong> <strong>2012</strong> <strong>Congressional</strong> Budget<br />

Page 52

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