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The PLA at Home and Abroad - Strategic Studies Institute - U.S. Army

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60. You Ji, “Taiwan in the Political Calcul<strong>at</strong>ions of the Chinese<br />

Leadership,” <strong>The</strong> China Journal, Vol. 36, July, 1996, pp. 117-125.<br />

61. Inform<strong>at</strong>ion obtained from people with deep knowledge<br />

of <strong>PLA</strong> elite politics in Beijing.<br />

62. Xin Qi (辛旗) <strong>and</strong> his organiz<strong>at</strong>ion, a think tank associ<strong>at</strong>ed<br />

with the 2nd department of the GSD (总参二部), played a crucial<br />

role in the drafting process.<br />

63. From 1999, Hu began to preside over the annual n<strong>at</strong>ional<br />

TAO conference, normally held in December each year. He also<br />

presided over the meeting where Qian Qishen announced the<br />

“new three-sentence.”<br />

64. It is said th<strong>at</strong> few m<strong>at</strong>ters have captured Hu’s personal <strong>at</strong>tention<br />

more than Taiwan affairs. For instance, he has personally<br />

called leaders of the TAO for their prediction on the outcome of a<br />

major forthcoming election in Taiwan. As many issues in the bil<strong>at</strong>eral<br />

negoti<strong>at</strong>ion may have a profound impact on Beijing’s longterm<br />

Taiwan policy, he also has to make decisions himself, often<br />

in a prompt manner.<br />

65. This is best revealed by Hu’s speech to his first news conference<br />

as the Party’s new leader on November 15, 2002, Xinhua<br />

New Agency, November 16, 2002.<br />

66. Liu Jixian (刘继贤), “学习胡锦涛军队政治工作思想的认识”<br />

(“Underst<strong>and</strong>ing Hu Jintao’s thinking on the political work of the<br />

<strong>PLA</strong>, Part One”), 中国军队政治工作 (Political Work in Chinese Military),<br />

No. 10, 2008, p. 2.<br />

67. As the balance of power has decisively shifted in favor<br />

of the mainl<strong>and</strong>, Beijing has more options against Taiwan’s challenge.<br />

See a roundtable discussion by Asia Policy on the concept<br />

of healthy balance across the Taiwan Strait, Asia Policy, No. 8,<br />

2009.<br />

68. James Thomson, “US Interests <strong>and</strong> the F<strong>at</strong>e of Alliances,”<br />

Survival, Vol. 45, No. 4, 2003-04, p. 214.<br />

188

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