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The PLA at Home and Abroad - Strategic Studies Institute - U.S. Army

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ized, hierarchical leadership to direct CMI <strong>at</strong> levels no<br />

lower than the Central Military Commission (CMC)<br />

<strong>and</strong> the St<strong>at</strong>e Council. This would resemble the U.S.<br />

system which is directed by presidential offices <strong>and</strong><br />

congressional committees, with offices throughout the<br />

government <strong>and</strong> defense establishment to execute it. 38<br />

However, the U.S. system took roughly 10 years to put<br />

in place, <strong>and</strong> we should not expect China’s messy organiz<strong>at</strong>ional<br />

oversight, local-central power struggles,<br />

the legacy of a monopolized defense industry, <strong>and</strong><br />

conflicting regul<strong>at</strong>ory <strong>and</strong> policy directives to take<br />

any less time.<br />

INCENTIVE BUILDING<br />

<strong>The</strong> recent bout of policy reforms arrived in dribbles<br />

<strong>and</strong> without fanfare begining in 2002, <strong>and</strong> continues<br />

until the present. Individually, they are almost<br />

indiscernible, but collectively they may be more revolutionary<br />

than those of 1998-99. A number of factors<br />

have led up to their onset. It was clear to the leadership,<br />

both political <strong>and</strong> military, th<strong>at</strong> the 1998-99 restructuring<br />

of the management <strong>and</strong> oper<strong>at</strong>ion over the<br />

defense enterprises were not sufficient to bring China’s<br />

entrenched defense industry up to par with the<br />

global leaders. Military conversion spin-offs remained<br />

the dominant form of dual-use activity, while spinon<br />

<strong>and</strong> more comprehensive technology diffusion<br />

between civilian <strong>and</strong> military sectors was generally<br />

anemic <strong>and</strong> confined to a few narrow fields. Second,<br />

the intern<strong>at</strong>ional trends were clear. After the end of<br />

the cold war, global military powers were decisively<br />

moving toward “composite defense-economic” characteristics<br />

(United St<strong>at</strong>es) or already had successful<br />

dual-use economies (Japan) in place. 39 China studied<br />

492

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