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The PLA at Home and Abroad - Strategic Studies Institute - U.S. Army

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August 2009 meeting of the MMCA <strong>and</strong> received the<br />

U.S. response he no doubt anticip<strong>at</strong>ed, based on past<br />

experience. 64<br />

<strong>PLA</strong> perception th<strong>at</strong> defending China from sea <strong>at</strong>tack<br />

is difficult should not be overlooked. As <strong>The</strong> Science<br />

of Military Str<strong>at</strong>egy st<strong>at</strong>es:<br />

Although China is a country with large territorial<br />

w<strong>at</strong>ers, our sea area is closed or half-closed. It is surrounded<br />

by the longest chain of isl<strong>and</strong>s in the world,<br />

including the Aleutian Isl<strong>and</strong>s, the Isl<strong>and</strong>s of Japan <strong>and</strong><br />

Isl<strong>and</strong>s of the Philippines. And it is connected with the<br />

outside world through the Korean Strait, w<strong>at</strong>er channels<br />

of the Ryuku, Taiwan Strait, Bashi Channel, Strait<br />

of Malacca <strong>and</strong> Sunda Straits. 65<br />

China’s str<strong>at</strong>egic analysts view this isl<strong>and</strong> chain as<br />

blocking <strong>PLA</strong> Navy access to the open ocean, <strong>and</strong><br />

the United St<strong>at</strong>es as the most probable naval power<br />

to invoke this blocking str<strong>at</strong>egy. <strong>The</strong> deployment of<br />

more than 50 percent of U.S. Naval aircraft carriers,<br />

submarines, <strong>and</strong> destroyers to the Pacific Ocean area<br />

would be viewed by Chinese analysts as supporting<br />

this assumption.<br />

Yet another important <strong>PLA</strong> apprehension is the<br />

consequence of advances in U.S. ballistic missile defenses<br />

for China’s str<strong>at</strong>egic deterrent 66 <strong>The</strong> apprehension<br />

expressed, for example by Professor Wang<br />

Zhongchun of the <strong>PLA</strong>-NDU <strong>and</strong> just about all other<br />

Chinese analysts, is th<strong>at</strong> when the BMD system has<br />

been fully developed, the United St<strong>at</strong>es will have both<br />

a str<strong>at</strong>egic offense <strong>and</strong> str<strong>at</strong>egic defense capability th<strong>at</strong><br />

will undermine China’s str<strong>at</strong>egic deterrent, based as<br />

it is upon a small number of nuclear weapons. This,<br />

of course, is read by China as requiring mobile l<strong>and</strong>based<br />

<strong>and</strong> submarine-based weapons to ensure the<br />

81

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