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The PLA at Home and Abroad - Strategic Studies Institute - U.S. Army

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solved. Most likely, China’s long-term str<strong>at</strong>egic concerns<br />

will heighten the consequences of the security<br />

dilemma.<br />

South <strong>and</strong> Central Asia: India.<br />

<strong>The</strong> suspicions infecting Sino-Indian rel<strong>at</strong>ions are<br />

impossible to avoid. <strong>The</strong>y are perhaps best illustr<strong>at</strong>ed<br />

by a reported March 2009 Indian military exercise <strong>at</strong><br />

a time Sino-Indian rel<strong>at</strong>ions were <strong>at</strong> a high point. <strong>The</strong><br />

Hindustan Times 31 reported th<strong>at</strong> India had conducted a<br />

secret 3-day exercise called “Divine M<strong>at</strong>rix” designed<br />

on the assumption th<strong>at</strong> a “nuclear-armed China would<br />

<strong>at</strong>tack India by 2017.” Following a 6-month study of<br />

various potential scenarios, the scenario selected had<br />

China employing inform<strong>at</strong>ion warfare to disrupt India<br />

prior to launching a military offensive. It would not be<br />

a nuclear war but a short, quick conventional oper<strong>at</strong>ion<br />

designed to grant China dominant position in the<br />

region. A week l<strong>at</strong>er, China Daily reported the Foreign<br />

Ministry spokesman, Qin Gang, <strong>at</strong> a press conference<br />

expressed surprise <strong>at</strong> the report because the leaders<br />

of China <strong>and</strong> India had already agreed th<strong>at</strong> the two<br />

countries did not pose a thre<strong>at</strong> to each other but would<br />

“tre<strong>at</strong> each other as partners.” 32 Even so, in an August<br />

2009 lecture to the N<strong>at</strong>ional Maritime Found<strong>at</strong>ion in<br />

New Delhi, India’s senior military officer, Chairman<br />

of the Chiefs of Staff Committee (COSC) <strong>and</strong> Chief of<br />

the Naval Staff (CNS) Admiral Sureesh Mehta, would<br />

st<strong>at</strong>e th<strong>at</strong> “coping with China will certainly be one of<br />

our primary challenges in the years ahead.” He specifically<br />

referred to China’s growing footprint in the<br />

Indian Ocean region. Yet, in the same lecture he also<br />

recommends th<strong>at</strong> cooper<strong>at</strong>ion with China r<strong>at</strong>her than<br />

competition or conflict was the better policy because<br />

66

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