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บ้านเรือนถิ่นไทยในช่วงเจ็ดทศวรรษ 2489-2559

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Table 1 Costs of Thaksin’s programs and their financing<br />

Program Year Cost<br />

(billion<br />

baht)<br />

$<br />

(million)<br />

Method of financing<br />

Evaluative studies<br />

1 Universal Health Care<br />

Program (extends health<br />

insurance to those not<br />

covered by social<br />

insurance for private<br />

sector employees and<br />

by civil servants’<br />

benefit scheme, covers<br />

a total of 46–48 million<br />

people)<br />

2002<br />

2003<br />

2004<br />

2005<br />

2006<br />

…<br />

2010<br />

27.6<br />

30.5<br />

33.6<br />

40.9<br />

54.4<br />

…<br />

89.4<br />

641.80<br />

734.40<br />

834.37<br />

1015.65<br />

1434.27<br />

2767.33<br />

Budget<br />

Anchana and Viroj<br />

(2007) show that<br />

the burden of healthcare<br />

cost for the poor is<br />

entirely eliminated.<br />

For the near-poor,<br />

without the scheme, 1%<br />

of the total population<br />

would cross over to<br />

the poor, or the poor<br />

population would<br />

increase by 10%.<br />

2 Agricultural Debt<br />

Moratorium (Farmers<br />

are excused from<br />

repaying their<br />

borrowings from Bank<br />

for Agriculture and<br />

Agricultural<br />

Cooperatives (BAAC)<br />

for three years, and<br />

from paying interest<br />

during the period.)<br />

2001<br />

-<br />

2003<br />

15.3 355.78 The debt stayed on<br />

the BAAC’s<br />

balance sheet for<br />

the duration of the<br />

moratorium.<br />

The amount shown<br />

here was the interest<br />

cost waived to the<br />

farmers during the<br />

moratorium, which<br />

was paid out of<br />

the budget to<br />

the BAAC.<br />

The objective was to<br />

inject substantial<br />

purchasing power into<br />

the economy. Suchanan<br />

(2004) shows that there<br />

was no impact on<br />

consumption, and<br />

a negative impact on<br />

investment, because<br />

farmers opting to be in<br />

the program could not<br />

take out loans.<br />

3 One-million-baht-pervillage<br />

Fund (Each<br />

village got a one-time<br />

grant of one million<br />

baht in 2001, which<br />

could be used to extend<br />

credit to villagers<br />

according to the rules<br />

set up by the village<br />

committee.)<br />

2001 69.6 1564.85 The amount paid<br />

out to the villages in<br />

2001 was borrowed<br />

from the Government<br />

Savings Bank and,<br />

therefore, was<br />

off-budget. This<br />

loan was repaid out<br />

of the budget over<br />

the next 8 years.<br />

Worawan and Bawornpan<br />

(2008) show no impact<br />

on income, expenditure,<br />

or poverty.<br />

4 OTOP Program (One<br />

tambon (=commune)<br />

one product scheme.<br />

Promotes the<br />

production of a product<br />

from each tambon.<br />

Government contributes<br />

marketing promotion.)<br />

2003<br />

2004<br />

2005<br />

2006<br />

0.7<br />

1.3<br />

0.7<br />

1.0<br />

16.86<br />

32.28<br />

17.38<br />

26.37<br />

Budget<br />

Sources: Item 1: Budget Bureau; Item 2: BAAC; Item 3: Government Savings Bank: Item 4: Small and Medium<br />

Enterprise Promotion Bureau, Ministry of Industry. Baht converted to dollars at current exchange rates.<br />

111

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