บ้านเรือนถิ่นไทยในช่วงเจ็ดทศวรรษ 2489-2559
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Table 1 Costs of Thaksin’s programs and their financing<br />
Program Year Cost<br />
(billion<br />
baht)<br />
$<br />
(million)<br />
Method of financing<br />
Evaluative studies<br />
1 Universal Health Care<br />
Program (extends health<br />
insurance to those not<br />
covered by social<br />
insurance for private<br />
sector employees and<br />
by civil servants’<br />
benefit scheme, covers<br />
a total of 46–48 million<br />
people)<br />
2002<br />
2003<br />
2004<br />
2005<br />
2006<br />
…<br />
2010<br />
27.6<br />
30.5<br />
33.6<br />
40.9<br />
54.4<br />
…<br />
89.4<br />
641.80<br />
734.40<br />
834.37<br />
1015.65<br />
1434.27<br />
2767.33<br />
Budget<br />
Anchana and Viroj<br />
(2007) show that<br />
the burden of healthcare<br />
cost for the poor is<br />
entirely eliminated.<br />
For the near-poor,<br />
without the scheme, 1%<br />
of the total population<br />
would cross over to<br />
the poor, or the poor<br />
population would<br />
increase by 10%.<br />
2 Agricultural Debt<br />
Moratorium (Farmers<br />
are excused from<br />
repaying their<br />
borrowings from Bank<br />
for Agriculture and<br />
Agricultural<br />
Cooperatives (BAAC)<br />
for three years, and<br />
from paying interest<br />
during the period.)<br />
2001<br />
-<br />
2003<br />
15.3 355.78 The debt stayed on<br />
the BAAC’s<br />
balance sheet for<br />
the duration of the<br />
moratorium.<br />
The amount shown<br />
here was the interest<br />
cost waived to the<br />
farmers during the<br />
moratorium, which<br />
was paid out of<br />
the budget to<br />
the BAAC.<br />
The objective was to<br />
inject substantial<br />
purchasing power into<br />
the economy. Suchanan<br />
(2004) shows that there<br />
was no impact on<br />
consumption, and<br />
a negative impact on<br />
investment, because<br />
farmers opting to be in<br />
the program could not<br />
take out loans.<br />
3 One-million-baht-pervillage<br />
Fund (Each<br />
village got a one-time<br />
grant of one million<br />
baht in 2001, which<br />
could be used to extend<br />
credit to villagers<br />
according to the rules<br />
set up by the village<br />
committee.)<br />
2001 69.6 1564.85 The amount paid<br />
out to the villages in<br />
2001 was borrowed<br />
from the Government<br />
Savings Bank and,<br />
therefore, was<br />
off-budget. This<br />
loan was repaid out<br />
of the budget over<br />
the next 8 years.<br />
Worawan and Bawornpan<br />
(2008) show no impact<br />
on income, expenditure,<br />
or poverty.<br />
4 OTOP Program (One<br />
tambon (=commune)<br />
one product scheme.<br />
Promotes the<br />
production of a product<br />
from each tambon.<br />
Government contributes<br />
marketing promotion.)<br />
2003<br />
2004<br />
2005<br />
2006<br />
0.7<br />
1.3<br />
0.7<br />
1.0<br />
16.86<br />
32.28<br />
17.38<br />
26.37<br />
Budget<br />
Sources: Item 1: Budget Bureau; Item 2: BAAC; Item 3: Government Savings Bank: Item 4: Small and Medium<br />
Enterprise Promotion Bureau, Ministry of Industry. Baht converted to dollars at current exchange rates.<br />
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