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Russel-Research-Method-in-Anthropology

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616 Chapter 20<br />

Environmentalists wouldn’t be so gung-ho if it were their jobs that were threatened.<br />

1. Disagree 2. Neutral 3. Agree<br />

Gery Ryan, Stephen Borgatti, and I used these items <strong>in</strong> a survey we ran<br />

(Bernard et al. 1999), and table 20.10 shows the results. Notice that these<br />

TABLE 20.10<br />

Distribution of Responses on Two Ecological Attitude Items<br />

Gung-ho<br />

Force change<br />

<strong>in</strong> lifestyle Disagree Neutral Agree Row totals<br />

Disagree 16 7 61 84<br />

Neutral 7 7 7 21<br />

Agree 13 4 27 44<br />

Column totals 36 18 95 149<br />

items are reverse scored, so that a higher number <strong>in</strong>dicates support for environmentalism.<br />

If the two variables were perfectly related, then every respondent who<br />

agreed with one statement would agree with the other; and every respondent<br />

who disagreed with one statement would disagree with the other. Of course,<br />

th<strong>in</strong>gs never work out so neatly, but if you knew the proportion of match<strong>in</strong>g<br />

pairs among your respondents, you’d have a PRE measure of association for<br />

ord<strong>in</strong>al variables. The measure would tell you how much more correctly you<br />

could guess the rank of one ord<strong>in</strong>al variable for each respondent if you knew<br />

the score for the other ord<strong>in</strong>al variable <strong>in</strong> a bivariate distribution.<br />

What we would like is a PRE measure of association that tells us whether<br />

know<strong>in</strong>g the rank<strong>in</strong>g of pairs of people on one variable <strong>in</strong>creases our ability<br />

to predict their rank<strong>in</strong>g on a second variable, and by how much. To do this,<br />

we need to understand the ways <strong>in</strong> which pairs of ranks can be distributed.<br />

This will not appear obvious at first, but bear with me.<br />

The number of possible pairs of observations (on any given unit of analysis)<br />

is<br />

No. of pairs of observations n(n1)<br />

2<br />

Formula 20.12<br />

where n is the sample size. There are (149)(148)/2 11,026 pairs of observations<br />

<strong>in</strong> table 20.10.

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