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Russel-Research-Method-in-Anthropology

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Bivariate Analysis: Test<strong>in</strong>g Relations 635<br />

150<br />

150<br />

INFMORT<br />

100<br />

50<br />

INFMORT<br />

100<br />

50<br />

0<br />

0 10000 20000 30000 40000<br />

a. PCGDP<br />

b.<br />

0<br />

4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11<br />

LOGPCGDP<br />

Infant mortality by per capita gross domestic<br />

product for 50 countries <strong>in</strong> table 19.8.<br />

Figure 20.7. Transform<strong>in</strong>g variables.<br />

Infant mortality and the log of per capita<br />

gross domestic product for 50 countries <strong>in</strong><br />

table 19.8.<br />

by a factor of five to cut their <strong>in</strong>fant mortality rate <strong>in</strong> half. At $5,000 per year,<br />

countries only have to double PCGDP to halve <strong>in</strong>fant mortality rate. And at<br />

$10,000 per year, it only takes a 50% rise <strong>in</strong> PCGDP to halve the <strong>in</strong>fant mortality<br />

rate aga<strong>in</strong>.<br />

If a scatterplot looks anyth<strong>in</strong>g like figure 20.7a, consider transform<strong>in</strong>g the<br />

data <strong>in</strong>to their logarithms. If a scatterplot looks like the shapes <strong>in</strong> figures 20.5<br />

or 20.6, then consider us<strong>in</strong>g eta-squared, a statistic for nonl<strong>in</strong>ear regression.<br />

Calculat<strong>in</strong>g Eta-Squared<br />

Eta-squared, written 2 or eta 2 , is a PRE measure that tells you how much<br />

better you could do if you predicted the separate means for chunks of your<br />

data than if you predicted the mean for all your data. Figure 20.8 graphs the<br />

hypothetical data <strong>in</strong> table 20.19. These data show, for a sample of 20 people,<br />

ages 12–89, their ‘‘number of close friends and acqua<strong>in</strong>tances.’’<br />

The dots <strong>in</strong> figure 20.8 are the data po<strong>in</strong>ts from table 20.19. Respondent<br />

10, for example, is 45 years of age and was found to have approximately 55<br />

friends and acqua<strong>in</strong>tances. The horizontal dashed l<strong>in</strong>e <strong>in</strong> figure 20.8 marked y<br />

is the global average for these data, 41.15.<br />

Clearly: (1) The global average is not of much use <strong>in</strong> predict<strong>in</strong>g the dependent<br />

variable; (2) Know<strong>in</strong>g a person’s age is helpful <strong>in</strong> predict<strong>in</strong>g the size of

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