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Russel-Research-Method-in-Anthropology

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Bivariate Analysis: Test<strong>in</strong>g Relations 633<br />

.50<br />

Educational Homogamy<br />

.45<br />

.40<br />

.35<br />

.30<br />

.25<br />

.20<br />

.15<br />

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10<br />

Per Capita Energy Consumption (In)<br />

Figure 20.5. The relation between per capita energy consumption and educational<br />

homogamy is nonl<strong>in</strong>ear.<br />

SOURCE: J. Smits et al., ‘‘Educational Homogamy <strong>in</strong> 65 Countries: An Explanation of Differences <strong>in</strong> Openness<br />

Us<strong>in</strong>g Country-Level Explanatory Variables,’’ American Sociological Review Vol. 63, pp. 264–285.<br />

1998 by the American Sociological Association. Repr<strong>in</strong>ted with permission.<br />

(Homogamy means marry<strong>in</strong>g someone who is similar to you, so educational<br />

homogamy means marry<strong>in</strong>g someone who has the same level of education as<br />

you do.) The relation between the two variables is very clear: It’s an <strong>in</strong>verted<br />

U.<br />

You might th<strong>in</strong>k that the relation between these two variables would be l<strong>in</strong>ear—people<br />

of similar education would be attracted to each other—but it isn’t.<br />

Here’s how Smits et al. reckon the <strong>in</strong>verted U happens: People <strong>in</strong> non<strong>in</strong>dustrialized<br />

countries rely mostly on agriculture, so family background (which<br />

determ<strong>in</strong>es wealth) tends to be the ma<strong>in</strong> criterion for select<strong>in</strong>g mates. As<br />

<strong>in</strong>dustrialization takes off, education becomes more and more important and<br />

family background becomes less important for build<strong>in</strong>g wealth. Educated people<br />

seek each other out to maximize their life chances.<br />

Eventually, though, when countries are highly <strong>in</strong>dustrialized, education is<br />

widespread, people have high wages, and there are social security systems.<br />

People <strong>in</strong> those countries don’t have to rely on their children for support <strong>in</strong><br />

old age, so romantic love becomes the dom<strong>in</strong>ant force <strong>in</strong> mate selection and<br />

the level of educational homogamy drops like a stone.<br />

Here’s another one. Beg<strong>in</strong>n<strong>in</strong>g with 5F and cont<strong>in</strong>u<strong>in</strong>g up to 75F, the<br />

mean number of assaults rises steadily with the average daily temperature <strong>in</strong>

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