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Russel-Research-Method-in-Anthropology

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Multivariate Analysis 657<br />

it is highly significant. Rural <strong>in</strong>formants with less than an eighth-grade education<br />

are more likely than urban <strong>in</strong>formants with less than an eighth-grade education<br />

to have more than three children (65% versus 35%). Among rural <strong>in</strong>formants,<br />

<strong>in</strong> fact, level of education has little or no effect on family size (70% of<br />

those with higher education have large families versus 65% of those with<br />

lower education).<br />

Among urban <strong>in</strong>formants, education is strongly associated with family size.<br />

More-educated urban <strong>in</strong>formants are more likely than less-educated <strong>in</strong>formants<br />

to have more than three children, accord<strong>in</strong>g to these data. This throws<br />

new light on the subject, and begs to be expla<strong>in</strong>ed. We know that higher education<br />

without small families does not produce an <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> economic status<br />

for these poor migrants. We know, too, that most people, whether urban or<br />

rural, keep hav<strong>in</strong>g large families, although large families are less prevalent<br />

among urbanites than among rural residents (132 out of 250 versus 167 out of<br />

250).<br />

To understand this case still further, consider table 21.13, which cross-tabulates<br />

family size by wealth, controll<strong>in</strong>g for both education and residence. This<br />

TABLE 21.13<br />

Family Size by Wealth, Controll<strong>in</strong>g for Education and Residence<br />

Rural<br />

Urban<br />

8th grade 8th grade 8th grade 8th grade<br />

Not Not Row Not Not Row<br />

Poor poor Poor poor totals Poor poor Poor poor totals<br />

3 children 34 36 20 77 167 20 80 10 22 132<br />

3 children 16 14 14 39 83 43 16 18 41 118<br />

Column totals 50 50 34 116 250 63 96 28 63 250<br />

table shows that neither wealth nor education <strong>in</strong>fluences family size among<br />

rural <strong>in</strong>formants. For urban residents, however, the story is quite different. As<br />

expected, those urban <strong>in</strong>formants who have both <strong>in</strong>creased their education and<br />

<strong>in</strong>creased their wealth have small families.<br />

Go through table 21.13 carefully and make the appropriate comparisons<br />

across the rows and between the two halves. Compare also the results of this<br />

table with those of table 21.11, <strong>in</strong> which wealth status was the dependent variable.<br />

From these tables, we can now hazard a guess about how these variables<br />

<strong>in</strong>teract. We can draw a conceptual model of the whole process we’ve been<br />

look<strong>in</strong>g at. It’s <strong>in</strong> figure 21.1.

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