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Multivariate Analysis 671<br />

fr<br />

.968<br />

Rb<br />

.185<br />

.334<br />

fs<br />

.371<br />

.155<br />

w<br />

Ra .929<br />

.468<br />

.662<br />

L<br />

.435<br />

Figure 21.2. Path analysis of effects of wealth, friendship, and family size on leadership<br />

<strong>in</strong> Niwan Witz.<br />

SOURCE: J. S. Thomas, ‘‘The Economic Determ<strong>in</strong>ants on Leadership on a Tojalabal Maya Community,’’<br />

American Ethnologist Vol. 8, p. 1, 1981. Reproduced by permission of the American Anthropological Association.<br />

Not for further reproduction.<br />

Rc<br />

enced both wealth (w) and the size of one’s friendship network (fr), and that<br />

wealth was a factor <strong>in</strong> determ<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g the number of one’s friends.<br />

The path coefficients <strong>in</strong> figure 21.2 are standardized values: They show<br />

the <strong>in</strong>fluence of the <strong>in</strong>dependent variables on the dependent variables <strong>in</strong> terms<br />

of standard deviations. The path coefficients <strong>in</strong> figure 21.2, then, show that ‘‘a<br />

one standard deviation <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> wealth produces a .662 standard deviation<br />

<strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> leadership; a one standard deviation <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> family size results<br />

<strong>in</strong> a .468 standard deviation <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> leadership; and so on’’ (Thomas<br />

1981:133). (For details about how path coefficients are determ<strong>in</strong>ed, consult a<br />

textbook <strong>in</strong> multivariate analysis, like Kelloway 1998.)<br />

Four th<strong>in</strong>gs are clear from figure 21.2: (1) Among the variables tested,<br />

wealth is the most important cause of leadership <strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>dividuals. (2) Family<br />

size has a moderate causal <strong>in</strong>fluence on wealth (mak<strong>in</strong>g wealth a dependent,<br />

as well as an <strong>in</strong>dependent variable <strong>in</strong> this system). (3) The size of a person’s<br />

friendship network is only weakly related to either family size or wealth. (4)<br />

The comb<strong>in</strong>ed direct and <strong>in</strong>direct effects of family size, wealth, and friendship<br />

network on leadership account for 56.5% (1 .435) of the variance <strong>in</strong> leadership<br />

scores for the household heads of Niwan Witz.<br />

Thomas concludes from this descriptive analysis that if you want to become<br />

a leader <strong>in</strong> the Mayan village of Niwan Witz, you need wealth, and the best<br />

way to get that is to start by hav<strong>in</strong>g a large family.

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